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PSM Makassar vs Borneo

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League 2025/2026 Gelora BJ Habibie, Parepare City
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Match Events

8'
Teguh K.
16' Event
Arfan M.
Assist: Medina Themopole J.
25'
Lagator D.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between PSM Makassar and Borneo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Borneo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
PSM Makassar
15%
Draws
69%
Borneo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Borneo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • PSM Makassar haven't matched Borneo's recent run of results.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Borneo taking it.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
PSM Makassar Clean Sheet 10%
Borneo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSM Makassar Borneo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 22
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.17 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Borneo
1:2
Jan 3, 2026 Super League
Borneo vs PSM Makassar
2:1
Apr 18, 2025 Super League
Borneo vs PSM Makassar
1:1
Dec 2, 2024 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Borneo
1:0
Jul 25, 2024 President Cup
Borneo vs PSM Makassar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSM Makassar Compare

Top Goalscorer Arfan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Borneo Compare

Top Goalscorer Obieta K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSM Makassar 10 / 100
Borneo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSM Makassar Borneo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borneo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: PSM Makassar scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Borneo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: PSM Makassar stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PSM Makassar VS Borneo
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PSM Makassar

(Home)
23 May
Madura United
2 : 0
PSM Makassar
17 May
PSM Makassar
1 : 2
Persib Bandung
09 May
Arema FC
3 : 0
PSM Makassar
04 May
PSM Makassar
2 : 1
FC Bhayangkara
27 Apr
Bali United
2 : 0
PSM Makassar
Page 1 of 6

Borneo

(Away)
23 May
Borneo
7 : 1
Java United
17 May
Persijap Jepara
0 : 0
Borneo
11 May
Bali United
2 : 3
Borneo
05 May
Borneo
2 : 0
Persita
29 Apr
Persik Kediri
0 : 1
Borneo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Java United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
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