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PSM Makassar vs FC Bhayangkara

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League 2025/2026 Gelora BJ Habibie, Parepare City
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Match Events

12'
Ginanjar
39'
Ichsan T.
45' Event
Lagator D.

AI Match Summary

PSM Makassar in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored PSM Makassar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
PSM Makassar
35%
Draws
52%
FC Bhayangkara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Bhayangkara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Bhayangkara lately — more wins on the board than PSM Makassar.
  • Model gives FC Bhayangkara a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
PSM Makassar Clean Sheet 10%
FC Bhayangkara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSM Makassar FC Bhayangkara
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.27 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Super League
PSM Makassar vs FC Bhayangkara
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Super League
FC Bhayangkara vs PSM Makassar
1:1
Dec 8, 2023 Super League
PSM Makassar vs FC Bhayangkara
1:1
Jul 29, 2023 Super League
FC Bhayangkara vs PSM Makassar
0:0
Mar 17, 2023 Super League
PSM Makassar vs FC Bhayangkara
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSM Makassar Compare

Top Goalscorer Lagator D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cumic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FC Bhayangkara Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSM Makassar 10 / 100
FC Bhayangkara 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSM Makassar FC Bhayangkara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Bhayangkara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSM Makassar's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: FC Bhayangkara conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

PSM Makassar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PSM Makassar VS FC Bhayangkara
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

PSM Makassar

(Home)
19 Sept
PSM Makassar
2 : 2
Persita
13 Sept
PSM Makassar
3 : 3
Arema FC
06 Sept
Persib Bandung
3 : 1
PSM Makassar
23 May
Madura United
2 : 0
PSM Makassar
17 May
PSM Makassar
1 : 2
Persib Bandung
Page 1 of 6

FC Bhayangkara

(Away)
19 Sept
FC Bhayangkara
2 : 0
Isenmulang Kalteng
11 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 2
FC Bhayangkara
05 Sept
FC Bhayangkara
1 : 1
Persebaya
23 May
FC Bhayangkara
7 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
17 May
Bali United
4 : 1
FC Bhayangkara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Java United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
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