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PSM Makassar vs Persebaya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Gelora BJ Habibie, Parepare City
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PSM Makassar host Persebaya in the Super League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: PSM Makassar at 1.24 goals for, 1.76 against; Persebaya at 1.79 for, 0.85 against. Head-to-head, PSM Makassar have won 0 to Persebaya's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 25, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.75 - 2.01) back Persebaya to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
PSM Makassar
35%
Draws
55%
Persebaya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Persebaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Persebaya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Persebaya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
PSM Makassar Clean Sheet 10%
Persebaya Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSM Makassar Persebaya
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 7 20
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.24 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.76 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Super League
Persebaya vs PSM Makassar
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Persebaya
1:1
Mar 7, 2025 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Persebaya
0:1
Oct 23, 2024 Super League
Persebaya vs PSM Makassar
1:1
Feb 28, 2024 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Persebaya
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSM Makassar 10 / 100
Persebaya 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSM Makassar Persebaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persebaya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSM Makassar found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Persebaya has conceded goals in 50% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

PSM Makassar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PSM Makassar VS Persebaya
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.14 Goals Conceded 0.5
86% Over 1.5 50%
71% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

PSM Makassar

(Home)
11 Oct
PSS Sleman
3 : 0
PSM Makassar
19 Sept
PSM Makassar
2 : 2
Persita
13 Sept
PSM Makassar
3 : 3
Arema FC
06 Sept
Persib Bandung
3 : 1
PSM Makassar
23 May
Madura United
2 : 0
PSM Makassar
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Persebaya

(Away)
09 Oct
Isenmulang Kalteng
0 : 1
Persebaya
19 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 1
Garudayaksa
13 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 0
PSIM Yogyakarta
05 Sept
FC Bhayangkara
1 : 1
Persebaya
15 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0
Penang
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persija Jakarta 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Dewa United 5 3 2 0 10:6 11
3 Bali United 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
4 Madura United 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
5 Persita 4 2 2 0 8:6 8
6 Persebaya 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
7 Persik Kediri 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
8 Persib Bandung 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
9 Arema FC 4 1 3 0 10:6 6
10 FC Bhayangkara 4 1 3 0 7:5 6
11 Borneo 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
12 PSS Sleman 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
13 Java United 4 1 1 2 5:6 2
14 Garudayaksa 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
15 PSM Makassar 4 0 2 2 6:11 2
16 PSIM Yogyakarta 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
17 Persijap Jepara 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
18 Isenmulang Kalteng 4 0 0 4 1:11 -2
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