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Stadium Background

PSMS Medan vs Nusantara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Liga 2 2024/2025 Stadion Teladan, Medan
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Chan I.
33'
Sub
Mitter A. In: Wibnu B.
Out: Mitter A.
46'
Sub
Tarigan K. In: Odilov M.
Out: Tarigan K.

AI Match Summary

PSMS Medan in this Liga 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored PSMS Medan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
PSMS Medan
20%
Draws
23%
Nusantara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSMS Medan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • PSMS Medan have won more games recently than Nusantara.
  • PSMS Medan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
PSMS Medan Clean Sheet 68%
Nusantara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSMS Medan Nusantara
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.2
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2025 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Nusantara
4:0
Jan 30, 2025 Championship
Nusantara vs PSMS Medan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSMS Medan Compare

Top Goalscorer Chan I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Utami A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Nusantara Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSMS Medan 95 / 100
Nusantara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSMS Medan Nusantara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSMS Medan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nusantara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

PSMS Medan found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (38 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

PSMS Medan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PSMS Medan VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

PSMS Medan

(Home)
03 Oct
PSMS Medan
4 : 0
Persikad Depok
27 Sept
Bekasi City
0 : 1
PSMS Medan
20 Sept
PSMS Medan
6 : 0
Persiku Kudus
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2
PSMS Medan
01 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 1
PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 8

Nusantara

(Away)
15 Feb
Nusantara
2 : 1
Sriwijaya
10 Feb
Persikota Tangerang
3 : 3
Nusantara
04 Feb
PSMS Medan
4 : 0
Nusantara
30 Jan
Nusantara
0 : 1
PSMS Medan
24 Jan
Sriwijaya
3 : 0
Nusantara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSMS Medan 6 5 0 1 14:2 15
2 Sriwijaya 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
3 Nusantara 6 2 1 3 6:12 7
4 Persikota Tangerang 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isenmulang Kalteng 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Bekasi City 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
3 Dejan 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
4 Persikabo 1973 6 0 1 5 8:17 1
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persiku Kudus 8 5 1 2 6:3 16
2 Persekat Tegal 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
3 Persibo Bojonegoro 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
4 Gresik 8 3 3 2 10:8 12
5 Persewar Waropen 8 0 2 6 6:16 2
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persikas Subang 8 5 1 2 8:5 16
2 Persipal BU 8 5 0 3 10:5 15
3 Persipura Jayapura 8 4 2 2 18:6 14
4 Persipa Pati 8 2 3 3 9:7 9
5 RANS Nusantara 8 0 2 6 3:25 2
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)