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PSMS Medan vs Persikota Tangerang - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Liga 2 2024/2025 Stadion Teladan, Medan
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Match Events

1' Event
Utami A.
12' Event
El Hakim L.
14' Event
Satrio L.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2024/2025 game between PSMS Medan and Persikota Tangerang finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSMS Medan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
PSMS Medan
20%
Draws
23%
Persikota Tangerang
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSMS Medan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PSMS Medan come out ahead of Persikota Tangerang on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans PSMS Medan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and PSMS Medan have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
PSMS Medan Clean Sheet 68%
Persikota Tangerang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSMS Medan Persikota Tangerang
Matches Played 41 22
Wins 18 7
Draws 10 3
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Persikota Tangerang
3:1
Jan 24, 2025 Championship
Persikota Tangerang vs PSMS Medan
0:4
Nov 15, 2024 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Persikota Tangerang
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Championship
Persikota Tangerang vs PSMS Medan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSMS Medan Compare

Top Goalscorer Utami A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hidayat R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Persikota Tangerang Compare

Top Goalscorer El Hakim L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSMS Medan 95 / 100
Persikota Tangerang 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSMS Medan Persikota Tangerang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSMS Medan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persikota Tangerang's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 22 matches.

Attacking prowess: PSMS Medan scored in 78% of their last 41 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

PSMS Medan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

PSMS Medan VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

PSMS Medan

(Home)
03 Oct
PSMS Medan
4 : 0
Persikad Depok
27 Sept
Bekasi City
0 : 1
PSMS Medan
20 Sept
PSMS Medan
6 : 0
Persiku Kudus
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2
PSMS Medan
01 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 1
PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 9

Persikota Tangerang

(Away)
15 Feb
PSMS Medan
3 : 1
Persikota Tangerang
10 Feb
Persikota Tangerang
3 : 3
Nusantara
04 Feb
Sriwijaya
1 : 0
Persikota Tangerang
30 Jan
Persikota Tangerang
4 : 2
Sriwijaya
24 Jan
Persikota Tangerang
0 : 4
PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSMS Medan 6 5 0 1 14:2 15
2 Sriwijaya 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
3 Nusantara 6 2 1 3 6:12 7
4 Persikota Tangerang 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isenmulang Kalteng 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Bekasi City 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
3 Dejan 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
4 Persikabo 1973 6 0 1 5 8:17 1
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persiku Kudus 8 5 1 2 6:3 16
2 Persekat Tegal 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
3 Persibo Bojonegoro 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
4 Gresik 8 3 3 2 10:8 12
5 Persewar Waropen 8 0 2 6 6:16 2
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persikas Subang 8 5 1 2 8:5 16
2 Persipal BU 8 5 0 3 10:5 15
3 Persipura Jayapura 8 4 2 2 18:6 14
4 Persipa Pati 8 2 3 3 9:7 9
5 RANS Nusantara 8 0 2 6 3:25 2
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)