Sport Picks
PSMS Medan vs Sriwijaya
Indonesia
Championship 2025/2026 Stadion Teladan, Medan 
Match Events
4'
4'
Cadenazzi F.
Assist: Clayton S. d. S.
15'
15'
Redian F.
30'
30'
Fahrezi Z.
AI Match Summary
The Championship 2025/2026 game between PSMS Medan and Sriwijaya finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSMS Medan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PSMS Medan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sriwijaya haven't matched PSMS Medan's recent run of results.
- PSMS Medan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- PSMS Medan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
PSMS Medan Clean Sheet 20%
Sriwijaya Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | PSMS Medan | Sriwijaya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 2 |
| Draws | 10 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 26 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 0.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 3.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 0.70 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Sriwijaya
1:0
Dec 27, 2025 Championship
Sriwijaya vs PSMS Medan
1:3
Oct 4, 2025 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Sriwijaya
3:1
Feb 10, 2025 Championship
Sriwijaya vs PSMS Medan
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Sriwijaya
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
PSMS Medan Compare
Top Goalscorer Cadenazzi F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Sriwijaya Compare
Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
PSMS Medan 85 / 100
Sriwijaya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
PSMS Medan Sriwijaya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PSMS Medan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sriwijaya has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
Difficult form: Sriwijaya registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
PSMS Medan found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
PSMS Medan VS Sriwijaya
0.88 Goals Scored 0.14
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
PSMS Medan
(Home) 20 Sept
PSMS Medan
6 : 0 Persiku Kudus
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
01 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 1 PSMS Medan
29 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSMS Medan
26 Jul
PSMS Medan
0 : 2 Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
PSMS Medan
6 : 0 Persiku Kudus
26 Jul
PSMS Medan
0 : 2 Port MTI FC
25 Apr
PSMS Medan
1 : 1 Isenmulang Kalteng
19 Apr
PSMS Medan
1 : 0 Sriwijaya
28 Mar
PSMS Medan
1 : 1 PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 3
Sriwijaya
(Away) 02 May
Isenmulang Kalteng
4 : 0 Sriwijaya
25 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 3 Garudayaksa
19 Apr
PSMS Medan
1 : 0 Sriwijaya
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0 Sriwijaya
03 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 6 PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Isenmulang Kalteng
4 : 0 Sriwijaya
19 Apr
PSMS Medan
1 : 0 Sriwijaya
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0 Sriwijaya
28 Mar
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 1 Sriwijaya
28 Feb
Sumsel United
3 : 0 Sriwijaya
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
