Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
PSNI in this Irish League Cup 2012/2013 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chimney
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- PSNI have won more games recently than Chimney.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Chimney taking it.
- PSNI have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor PSNI, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors PSNI here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
PSNI Clean Sheet 11%
Chimney Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | PSNI | Chimney |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 22 | 27 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.93 | 3.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2012 Irish League Cup
PSNI vs Chimney
4:3
Feb 12, 2011 IFA Championship 2
Chimney vs PSNI
0:0
Oct 2, 2010 IFA Championship 2
PSNI vs Chimney
5:0
May 1, 2010 IFA Championship 2
PSNI vs Chimney
6:2
Jan 16, 2010 IFA Championship 2
Chimney vs PSNI
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
PSNI 10 / 100
Chimney 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
PSNI Chimney
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chimney's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Chimney has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
PSNI found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (26 games).
Scoring Trends
PSNI VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
PSNI
(Home) 09 Jul
PSNI
0 : 7 Ards
29 Aug
PSNI
0 : 1 Moyola
06 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 1 PSNI
02 Nov
Linfield
11 : 0 PSNI
14 Sept
Institute
4 : 3 PSNI
Page 1 of 6
09 Jul
PSNI
0 : 7 Ards
29 Aug
PSNI
0 : 1 Moyola
10 Mar
PSNI
2 : 4 Dundela
07 Mar
PSNI
0 : 2 Portadown
25 Jan
PSNI
0 : 1 Dundela
Page 1 of 2
Chimney
(Away) 02 Nov
Chimney
0 : 3 Valley Rangers
27 Sept
Glebe
1 : 2 Chimney
17 Aug
Chimney
5 : 1 Laurelvale
18 Aug
Grove
5 : 2 Chimney
19 Aug
Hanover
8 : 2 Chimney
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Glebe
1 : 2 Chimney
18 Aug
Grove
5 : 2 Chimney
19 Aug
Hanover
8 : 2 Chimney
11 Jan
Warrenpoint
2 : 0 Chimney
14 Aug
PSNI
4 : 3 Chimney
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
Larne 0
Glebe 1
Killymoon -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Ballymena -
TBD -
Loughgall 0
Lurgan Celtic 4
Donegal -
TBD -
Portstewart 1
Harland & Wolff 3
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Ards 4
Annagh 0
TBD -
Linfield -
Glenavon -
TBD -
Wakehurst 3
Sport & Leisure 4
Newry City -
TBD -
Ballyclare 1
Dergview 7
Institute -
TBD -
Queens University 1
Banbridge 2
PSNI 4
Chimney 3
TBD -
Glentoran -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
Warrenpoint 0
Knockbreda 1
Tobermore 1
Moyola 0
TBD -
Cliftonville -
1/16-finals
Crusaders 3
Glebe 0
Killymoon 0
Carrick Rangers 5
Coagh Utd 3
Dungannon 2
Limavady 1
Lisburn Distillery 3
Ballymena 4
Lurgan Celtic 1
Donegal 1
Harland & Wolff 2
Coleraine 4
Ballymoney 1
Ards 1
Linfield 3
Glenavon 6
Sport & Leisure 1
Newry City 1
Dergview 2
Institute 1
Banbridge 0
PSNI 1
Glentoran 3
Portadown 3
Dundela 0
Armagh 2
Bangor FC 4
Ballinamallard 4
Knockbreda 1
Tobermore 1
Cliftonville 4
1/8-finals
Crusaders 4
Carrick Rangers 3
Coagh Utd 0
Lisburn Distillery 9
Ballymena 3
Harland & Wolff 1
Coleraine 0
Linfield 1
Glenavon 2
Dergview 1
Institute 2
Glentoran 3
Portadown 4
Bangor FC 0
Ballinamallard 0
Cliftonville 5
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 3
Lisburn Distillery 1
Ballymena 0
Linfield 6
Glenavon 2
Glentoran 1
Portadown 1
Cliftonville 3
Semi-finals
Crusaders 1
Linfield 0
Glenavon 0
Cliftonville 3
Final
Crusaders 0
Cliftonville 4
