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PSNI vs Dergview

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2019/2020
Sat, Mar 21, 2020
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PSNI host Dergview in the NIFL Championship 2019/2020. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. PSNI have averaged 1.04 scored and 3.96 conceded recently, against Dergview's 1 scored and 2.16 conceded. Head-to-head, PSNI have won 2 to Dergview's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 3.94) point toward Dergview. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
PSNI
15%
Draws
85%
Dergview
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dergview

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: PSNI at 1.04 per game, Dergview at 1.
  • Model gives Dergview a 85% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship 2019/2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
PSNI Clean Sheet 10%
Dergview Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSNI Dergview
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 4 4
Draws 0 8
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 1.04 1
Goals Conceded 3.96 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 3.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2020 NIFL Championship
PSNI vs Dergview
0:0
Feb 1, 2020 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs PSNI
2:4
Aug 31, 2019 NIFL Championship
PSNI vs Dergview
3:1
Apr 20, 2019 NIFL Championship
PSNI vs Dergview
0:3
Feb 23, 2019 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs PSNI
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSNI 10 / 100
Dergview 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSNI Dergview

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dergview Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dergview's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Dergview registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

PSNI found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (25 games).

Scoring Trends

PSNI VS Dergview
0 Goals Scored 0.88
7 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

PSNI

(Home)
09 Jul
PSNI
0 : 7
Ards
29 Aug
PSNI
0 : 1
Moyola
06 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 1
PSNI
02 Nov
Linfield
11 : 0
PSNI
14 Sept
Institute
4 : 3
PSNI
Page 1 of 6

Dergview

(Away)
01 Aug
Dergview
1 : 1
Bangor FC
18 Jul
Dergview
0 : 3
Dungannon
09 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 0
Dergview
22 Nov
Lisburn Rangers
5 : 4
Dergview
07 Oct
Dergview
3 : 7
Larne
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portadown 31 20 6 5 72:30 66
2 Ballinamallard 30 19 3 8 71:34 60
3 Loughgall 31 18 4 9 64:45 58
4 Ards 31 16 6 9 68:44 54
5 Newry City 30 15 6 9 55:32 51
6 Dundela 31 13 7 11 43:49 46
7 Ballyclare 30 11 7 12 53:49 40
8 Harland & Wolff 31 10 5 16 52:63 35
9 Queens University 31 11 1 19 59:69 34
10 Dergview 30 8 5 17 38:54 29
11 Knockbreda 30 7 4 19 36:84 25
12 PSNI 30 7 2 21 40:98 23
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2020/2021 (Main)