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PSPS Riau vs Garudayaksa

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Kaharudin Nasution Sport Center Rumbai Stadium, Pekanbaru
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Match Events

32'
Sub
Adytia Y. In: Rifai S.
Out: Adytia Y.
46'
Sub
Harjito A. In: Cristian Santos
Out: Harjito A.
64'
Walidain B.

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between PSPS Riau and Garudayaksa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Garudayaksa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
PSPS Riau
20%
Draws
46%
Garudayaksa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Garudayaksa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Garudayaksa come out ahead of PSPS Riau on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
PSPS Riau Clean Sheet 13%
Garudayaksa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSPS Riau Garudayaksa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 10 12
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.83 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Garudayaksa
0:0
Nov 24, 2025 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Garudayaksa
0:1
Sep 29, 2025 Championship
Garudayaksa vs PSPS Riau
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSPS Riau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Garudayaksa Compare

Top Goalscorer Nova A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSPS Riau 31 / 100
Garudayaksa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSPS Riau Garudayaksa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Garudayaksa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSPS Riau found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Garudayaksa conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

PSPS Riau has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

PSPS Riau VS Garudayaksa
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

PSPS Riau

(Home)
19 Sept
PSPS Riau
2 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
11 Sept
PSIS Semarang
2 : 1
PSPS Riau
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0
PSPS Riau
02 May
Bekasi City
3 : 2
PSPS Riau
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0
Sumsel United
Page 1 of 6

Garudayaksa

(Away)
19 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 1
Garudayaksa
11 Sept
Garudayaksa
0 : 2
Persik Kediri
06 Sept
Java United
1 : 1
Garudayaksa
09 May
PSS Sleman
2 : 3
Garudayaksa
02 May
Garudayaksa
3 : 1
Persikad Depok
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)