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PSPS Riau vs Persekat Tegal

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Kaharudin Nasution Sport Center Rumbai Stadium, Pekanbaru
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Yasir M.
11'
Alparedo G.
24'
Khairullah Z.

AI Match Summary

PSPS Riau in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored PSPS Riau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
PSPS Riau
15%
Draws
34%
Persekat Tegal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PSPS Riau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to PSPS Riau lately — more wins on the board than Persekat Tegal.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on PSPS Riau taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
PSPS Riau Clean Sheet 68%
Persekat Tegal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSPS Riau Persekat Tegal
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.79 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Persekat Tegal
4:2
Jan 16, 2026 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Persekat Tegal
2:0
Oct 24, 2025 Championship
Persekat Tegal vs PSPS Riau
2:3
Jul 24, 2020 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Persekat Tegal
0:0
Mar 29, 2020 Championship
Persekat Tegal vs PSPS Riau
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSPS Riau Compare

Top Goalscorer Yasir M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gamaroni de Carvalho A. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Persekat Tegal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSPS Riau 50 / 100
Persekat Tegal 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSPS Riau Persekat Tegal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSPS Riau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: PSPS Riau scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Persekat Tegal has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Persekat Tegal registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PSPS Riau VS Persekat Tegal
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PSPS Riau

(Home)
26 Sept
Sumsel United
1 : 2
PSPS Riau
19 Sept
PSPS Riau
2 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
11 Sept
PSIS Semarang
2 : 1
PSPS Riau
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0
PSPS Riau
02 May
Bekasi City
3 : 2
PSPS Riau
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Persekat Tegal

(Away)
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2
Balikpapan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1
Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
Persekat Tegal
1 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
19 Apr
PSPS Riau
4 : 2
Persekat Tegal
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0
Sriwijaya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)