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Stadium Background

PSS Sleman vs PSIS Semarang

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Maguwoharjo Stadium, Yogyakarta
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Hidayat M.
20'
Dutra O.
34' Event
Gustavo Tocantins

AI Match Summary

PSS Sleman in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored PSS Sleman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
PSS Sleman
20%
Draws
63%
PSIS Semarang
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSIS Semarang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to PSS Sleman lately — more wins on the board than PSIS Semarang.
  • Win probability leans PSIS Semarang's way, sitting at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors PSS Sleman here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
PSS Sleman Clean Sheet 18%
PSIS Semarang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSS Sleman PSIS Semarang
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.83 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Championship
PSS Sleman vs PSIS Semarang
3:0
Jan 10, 2026 Championship
PSS Sleman vs PSIS Semarang
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Championship
PSIS Semarang vs PSS Sleman
0:5
May 9, 2025 Super League
PSIS Semarang vs PSS Sleman
1:2
Dec 17, 2024 Super League
PSS Sleman vs PSIS Semarang
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSS Sleman Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Tocantins
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haqi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

PSIS Semarang Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSS Sleman 20 / 100
PSIS Semarang 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSS Sleman PSIS Semarang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSIS Semarang Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSS Sleman's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

PSIS Semarang let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: PSS Sleman stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PSS Sleman VS PSIS Semarang
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PSS Sleman

(Home)
20 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
12 Sept
PSS Sleman
1 : 3
Madura United
04 Sept
Bali United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
09 May
PSS Sleman
2 : 3
Garudayaksa
03 May
PSS Sleman
3 : 0
PSIS Semarang
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PSIS Semarang

(Away)
03 Oct
PSIS Semarang
1 : 0
Bekasi City
27 Sept
Persiku Kudus
0 : 3
PSIS Semarang
20 Sept
Semen Padang
1 : 1
PSIS Semarang
11 Sept
PSIS Semarang
2 : 1
PSPS Riau
19 Jul
Persebaya
2 : 2
PSIS Semarang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)