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PSV U19 vs Atl. Madrid U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 De Herdgang, Eindhoven
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Esteban S.
Assist: Tamargo A.
9'
Sidibe S.
45' Event
Bouhamdi A.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 game between PSV U19 and Atl. Madrid U19 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSV U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
PSV U19
20%
Draws
33%
Atl. Madrid U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSV U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Atl. Madrid U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on PSV U19 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
PSV U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Atl. Madrid U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSV U19 Atl. Madrid U19
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.93 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2025 UEFA Youth League
PSV U19 vs Atl. Madrid U19
3:1
Nov 23, 2016 UEFA Youth League
Atl. Madrid U19 vs PSV U19
2:0
Sep 13, 2016 UEFA Youth League
PSV U19 vs Atl. Madrid U19
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSV U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouhamdi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Merien F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.18

Atl. Madrid U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Esteban S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSV U19 48 / 100
Atl. Madrid U19 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSV U19 Atl. Madrid U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSV U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSV U19 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Atl. Madrid U19 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

PSV U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

PSV U19 VS Atl. Madrid U19
2.38 Goals Scored 1.33
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.33
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

PSV U19

(Home)
15 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam U19
0 : 3
PSV U19
10 Sept
PSV U19
1 : 0
Shakhtar U19
05 Sept
AZ Alkmaar U19
2 : 0
PSV U19
29 Aug
PSV U19
3 : 3
Feyenoord U19
23 May
PSV U19
3 : 0
Volendam U19
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Atl. Madrid U19

(Away)
09 Sept
Liverpool U19
2 : 2
Atl. Madrid U19
17 Mar
Atl. Madrid U19
0 : 4
Club Brugge U19
25 Feb
Atl. Madrid U19
2 : 1
Maccabi Haifa U19
04 Feb
Dynamo Kyiv U19
2 : 6
Atl. Madrid U19
09 Dec
PSV U19
3 : 1
Atl. Madrid U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U19 6 5 1 0 23:9 16
2 Benfica U19 6 5 0 1 26:7 15
3 Club Brugge U19 6 5 0 1 11:3 15
4 Real Madrid U19 6 5 0 1 14:7 15
5 Villarreal U19 6 5 0 1 12:7 15
6 Ath Bilbao U19 6 4 2 0 17:7 14
7 Atl. Madrid U19 6 4 1 1 16:8 13
8 Barcelona U19 6 4 1 1 13:9 13
9 Tottenham U19 6 4 0 2 28:14 12
10 Manchester City U19 6 4 0 2 18:8 12
11 Dortmund U19 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
12 Sporting CP U19 6 3 3 0 13:10 12
13 PSG U19 6 3 2 1 17:8 11
14 Inter U19 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
15 Ajax U19 6 3 1 2 24:16 10
16 Liverpool U19 6 3 1 2 8:13 10
17 Leverkusen U19 6 3 1 2 9:16 10
18 Monaco U19 6 3 0 3 20:10 9
19 PSV U19 6 2 2 2 13:9 8
20 Slavia Prague U19 6 2 2 2 16:17 8
21 Eintracht Frankfurt U19 6 2 1 3 15:13 7
22 Marseille U19 6 2 1 3 12:11 7
23 FC Copenhagen U19 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
24 Olympiacos Piraeus U19 6 2 1 3 8:10 7
25 Napoli U19 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
26 Juventus U19 6 1 2 3 12:11 5
27 Bayern U19 6 1 1 4 10:16 4
28 Kairat Almaty U19 6 1 1 4 8:15 4
29 Atalanta U19 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
30 Pafos U19 6 1 1 4 5:15 4
31 Royale Union SG U19 6 1 1 4 7:18 4
32 Galatasaray U19 6 1 1 4 6:21 4
33 Arsenal U19 6 1 0 5 11:18 3
34 Newcastle Utd U19 6 0 0 6 6:17 0
35 Bodo/Glimt U19 6 0 0 6 4:31 0
36 Qarabag Agdam U19 6 0 0 6 1:30 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)