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PSV vs Groningen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Willumsson B.
Assist: van Bergen T.
11' Event
Blokzijl T.
Own Goal
21'
van Bommel R.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie game between PSV and Groningen finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
PSV
20%
Draws
29%
Groningen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PSV come out ahead of Groningen on wins alone.
  • PSV are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors PSV here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
PSV Clean Sheet 14%
Groningen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSV Groningen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.73 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Eredivisie
PSV vs Groningen
5:1
Feb 8, 2026 Eredivisie
Groningen vs PSV
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 Eredivisie
PSV vs Groningen
4:2
Apr 5, 2025 Eredivisie
Groningen vs PSV
1:3
Nov 23, 2024 Eredivisie
PSV vs Groningen
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSV Compare

Top Goalscorer Perisic I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dest S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Groningen Compare

Top Goalscorer Willumsson B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSV 84 / 100
Groningen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSV Groningen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSV found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Groningen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: PSV stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PSV VS Groningen
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

PSV

(Home)
04 Nov
PSV
1 : 2
Club Brugge
31 Oct
PSV
7 : 0
Willem II
25 Oct
PSV
1 : 1
Feyenoord
20 Oct
FC Porto
0 : 1
PSV
17 Oct
Den Haag
2 : 1
PSV
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Groningen

(Away)
01 Nov
Groningen
2 : 3
Sparta Rotterdam
29 Oct
Groningen
0 : 2
FC Emmen
25 Oct
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Groningen
18 Oct
Groningen
2 : 5
Ajax
11 Oct
Excelsior
1 : 5
Groningen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 11 7 4 0 33:12 25
2 Ajax 11 7 3 1 30:13 24
3 PSV 11 7 2 2 35:13 23
4 Twente 11 7 2 2 28:10 23
5 AZ Alkmaar 11 6 2 3 20:13 20
6 Sittard 11 5 4 2 18:18 19
7 Heerenveen 11 5 3 3 19:13 18
8 Groningen 11 4 3 4 26:24 15
9 Cambuur 11 4 3 4 23:22 15
10 G.A. Eagles 11 3 5 3 23:27 14
11 Sparta Rotterdam 11 3 3 5 20:26 12
12 Utrecht 11 3 3 5 19:31 12
13 Nijmegen 11 2 5 4 17:19 11
14 Zwolle 11 3 2 6 12:23 11
15 Excelsior 11 3 2 6 16:28 11
16 Telstar 11 2 3 6 16:23 9
17 Den Haag 11 1 3 7 13:24 6
18 Willem II 11 0 2 9 10:39 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)