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PSV vs Heerenveen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Til G.
42'
Obispo A.
60'
Linday M.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie game between PSV and Heerenveen finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
PSV
15%
Draws
54%
Heerenveen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heerenveen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PSV come out ahead of Heerenveen on wins alone.
  • PSV are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and PSV have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
PSV Clean Sheet 15%
Heerenveen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSV Heerenveen
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.73 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Eredivisie
PSV vs Heerenveen
2:0
Feb 21, 2026 Eredivisie
PSV vs Heerenveen
3:1
Feb 4, 2026 KNVB Beker
PSV vs Heerenveen
4:1
Dec 6, 2025 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs PSV
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 Eredivisie
PSV vs Heerenveen
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSV Compare

Top Goalscorer Til G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Heerenveen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSV 41 / 100
Heerenveen 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSV Heerenveen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: PSV scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Heerenveen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: PSV stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PSV VS Heerenveen
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

PSV

(Home)
04 Nov
PSV
1 : 2
Club Brugge
31 Oct
PSV
7 : 0
Willem II
25 Oct
PSV
1 : 1
Feyenoord
20 Oct
FC Porto
0 : 1
PSV
17 Oct
Den Haag
2 : 1
PSV
Page 1 of 6

Heerenveen

(Away)
31 Oct
Heerenveen
1 : 0
Nijmegen
28 Oct
Excelsior Maassluis
0 : 2
Heerenveen
24 Oct
Den Haag
2 : 3
Heerenveen
16 Oct
Heerenveen
4 : 0
Excelsior
09 Oct
PSV
2 : 0
Heerenveen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 11 7 4 0 33:12 25
2 Ajax 11 7 3 1 30:13 24
3 PSV 11 7 2 2 35:13 23
4 Twente 11 7 2 2 28:10 23
5 AZ Alkmaar 11 6 2 3 20:13 20
6 Sittard 11 5 4 2 18:18 19
7 Heerenveen 11 5 3 3 19:13 18
8 Groningen 11 4 3 4 26:24 15
9 Cambuur 11 4 3 4 23:22 15
10 G.A. Eagles 11 3 5 3 23:27 14
11 Sparta Rotterdam 11 3 3 5 20:26 12
12 Utrecht 11 3 3 5 19:31 12
13 Zwolle 12 3 3 6 13:24 12
14 Nijmegen 11 2 5 4 17:19 11
15 Excelsior 11 3 2 6 16:28 11
16 Telstar 11 2 3 6 16:23 9
17 Den Haag 11 1 3 7 13:24 6
18 Willem II 12 0 3 9 11:40 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)