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PSV vs Shakhtar

Europe Europe

Champions League Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Tobias V.
45' Event
Mendoza G.
Assist: Isaque Silva
47'
Mendoza G.

AI Match Summary

The Champions League game between PSV and Shakhtar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
PSV
20%
Draws
35%
Shakhtar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Shakhtar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives PSV a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
PSV Clean Sheet 15%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSV Shakhtar
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 18 20
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 2.79 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Champions League
PSV vs Shakhtar
1:1
Nov 27, 2024 Champions League
PSV vs Shakhtar
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSV Compare

Top Goalscorer Dest S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Shakhtar Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendoza G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSV 84 / 100
Shakhtar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSV Shakhtar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: PSV scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: PSV remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Shakhtar let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

PSV VS Shakhtar
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

PSV

(Home)
10 Sept
PSV
1 : 1
Shakhtar
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3
PSV
30 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 6
PSV
23 Aug
PSV
5 : 1
Groningen
15 Aug
Excelsior
1 : 2
PSV
Page 1 of 6

Shakhtar

(Away)
10 Sept
PSV
1 : 1
Shakhtar
05 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 2
Shakhtar
29 Aug
Shakhtar
0 : 2
Polissya Zhytomyr
16 Aug
FC Kharkiv
0 : 1
Shakhtar
09 Aug
Epitsentr
0 : 2
Shakhtar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
3 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
4 Manchester United 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
5 Como 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
6 VfB Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 Sporting CP 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
8 Manchester City 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 Aston Villa 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
10 Lens 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
11 Betis 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
12 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
13 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
14 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
15 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
16 AEK 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
17 AS Roma 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
18 Shakhtar 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
19 PSV 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
20 Fenerbahce 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
21 Villarreal 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
22 Lille 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
23 Slavia Prague 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
24 Club Brugge 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
25 Inter 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
26 Atl. Madrid 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
27 Napoli 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 LASK Linz 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
29 Viking 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
30 Galatasaray 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
31 FC Porto 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
32 RB Leipzig 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
33 Feyenoord 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
34 Sabah Baku 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
35 Slovan Bratislava 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
36 Bodo/Glimt 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)