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PSV vs Shakhtar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Champions League Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
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Match Events

35'
Tobias V.
45' Event
Mendoza G.
Assist: Isaque Silva
47'
Mendoza G.

AI Match Summary

The Champions League game between PSV and Shakhtar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
PSV
20%
Draws
40%
Shakhtar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Shakhtar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives PSV a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
PSV Clean Sheet 14%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSV Shakhtar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 2.72 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Champions League
PSV vs Shakhtar
1:1
Nov 27, 2024 Champions League
PSV vs Shakhtar
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSV Compare

Top Goalscorer Dest S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Shakhtar Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendoza G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSV 48 / 100
Shakhtar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSV Shakhtar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: PSV scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: PSV remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Shakhtar let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

PSV VS Shakhtar
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

PSV

(Home)
04 Nov
PSV
1 : 2
Club Brugge
31 Oct
PSV
7 : 0
Willem II
25 Oct
PSV
1 : 1
Feyenoord
20 Oct
FC Porto
0 : 1
PSV
17 Oct
Den Haag
2 : 1
PSV
Page 1 of 6

Shakhtar

(Away)
03 Nov
Shakhtar
0 : 1
Sporting CP
30 Oct
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Obolon
27 Oct
Shakhtar
3 : 0
Dynamo Kyiv
24 Oct
Shakhtar
0 : 0
Zorya
21 Oct
Inter
1 : 0
Shakhtar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 4 4 0 0 20:5 12
2 Real Madrid 4 4 0 0 13:7 12
3 Arsenal 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
4 Como 4 3 0 1 19:6 9
5 Barcelona 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
6 Aston Villa 4 3 0 1 12:6 9
7 Manchester City 4 3 0 1 12:7 9
8 Liverpool 4 3 0 1 14:10 9
9 Club Brugge 4 3 0 1 11:7 9
10 Sporting CP 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
11 Betis 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
12 Dortmund 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
13 Bayern Munich 4 2 2 0 12:5 8
14 VfB Stuttgart 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
15 Inter 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
16 LASK Linz 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
17 Manchester United 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
18 Galatasaray 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
19 Fenerbahce 4 1 2 1 6:11 5
20 AS Roma 4 1 1 2 10:8 4
21 Shakhtar 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
22 Viking 4 1 1 2 9:10 4
23 Atl. Madrid 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
24 PSV 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
25 Bodo/Glimt 4 1 1 2 4:9 4
26 FC Porto 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
27 Napoli 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
28 Villarreal 4 1 0 3 8:14 3
29 AEK 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
30 RB Leipzig 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
31 Sabah FC 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
32 Feyenoord 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
33 Lens 4 1 0 3 4:16 3
34 Slavia Prague 4 0 1 3 5:9 1
35 Lille 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
36 Slovan Bratislava 4 0 0 4 1:17 0
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)