Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Pepi R.
Assist: Bajraktarevic E.
41'
41'
Garcia MacNulty A.
51'
51'
Buurmeester Z.
AI Match Summary
The Eredivisie 2025/2026 game between PSV and Zwolle finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSV.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PSV
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- PSV carry the better recent record into this one.
- PSV are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Eredivisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and PSV have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
PSV Clean Sheet 18%
Zwolle Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | PSV | Zwolle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.7 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 23, 2026 Eredivisie
PSV vs Zwolle
6:1
Oct 4, 2025 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs PSV
0:4
Jan 18, 2025 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs PSV
3:1
Oct 26, 2024 Eredivisie
PSV vs Zwolle
6:0
Feb 24, 2024 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs PSV
1:7
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
PSV Compare
Top Goalscorer Pepi R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bajraktarevic E.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
Zwolle Compare
Top Goalscorer Buurmeester Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
PSV 85 / 100
Zwolle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
PSV Zwolle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PSV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
PSV's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Zwolle let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 5.80 goals as a typical output.
PSV went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
PSV VS Zwolle
3.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
PSV
(Home) 08 Aug
PSV
2 : 2 Sittard
02 Aug
PSV
0 : 4 AZ Alkmaar
28 Jul
PSV
3 : 0 Eindhoven FC
25 Jul
PSV
1 : 3 Villarreal
18 Jul
PSV
7 : 3 Royale Union SG
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
PSV
2 : 2 Sittard
02 Aug
PSV
0 : 4 AZ Alkmaar
28 Jul
PSV
3 : 0 Eindhoven FC
25 Jul
PSV
1 : 3 Villarreal
18 Jul
PSV
7 : 3 Royale Union SG
Page 1 of 4
Zwolle
(Away) 09 Aug
Zwolle
0 : 2 Ajax
01 Aug
Hannover
3 : 0 Zwolle
26 Jul
Zwolle
2 : 3 AEK
18 Jul
Zwolle
3 : 2 Cercle Brugge
11 Jul
Zwolle
0 : 1 Al Jazira
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Hannover
3 : 0 Zwolle
10 May
Sittard
3 : 2 Zwolle
23 Apr
PSV
6 : 1 Zwolle
05 Apr
G.A. Eagles
5 : 0 Zwolle
08 Mar
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1 Zwolle
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 84 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 65 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 59 |
| 4 | Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 5 | Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 56 |
| 6 | Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 53 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 52 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 51 |
| 9 | Groningen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 48 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | 43 |
| 11 | Sittard | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | 39 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | 38 |
| 14 | Telstar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | 37 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | 37 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | 32 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | 29 |
| 18 | Heracles | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | 19 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)
