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PSV W vs Sittard W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2024/2025 De Herdgang, Eindhoven
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Smits J.
45' Event
Smits J.
46'
Sub
van Koot M. In: Pietersma F.
Out: van Koot M.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie Women 2024/2025 game between PSV W and Sittard W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSV W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
PSV W
20%
Draws
33%
Sittard W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSV W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sittard W haven't matched PSV W's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on PSV W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and PSV W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
PSV W Clean Sheet 20%
Sittard W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSV W Sittard W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 22 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.16 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Sittard W vs PSV W
0:3
Dec 14, 2024 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs Sittard W
3:0
Mar 2, 2024 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs Sittard W
3:0
Oct 14, 2023 Eredivisie Women
Sittard W vs PSV W
1:0
Feb 12, 2023 Eredivisie Women
Sittard W vs PSV W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSV W Compare

Top Goalscorer Smits J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jacobs L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Sittard W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSV W 40 / 100
Sittard W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSV W Sittard W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSV W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSV W found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Sittard W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

PSV W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PSV W VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

PSV W

(Home)
04 Oct
Den Haag W
0 : 3
PSV W
30 Sept
Fortuna Hjorring W
0 : 0
PSV W
26 Sept
PSV W
4 : 0
De Graafschap W
23 Sept
PSV W
1 : 0
Fortuna Hjorring W
19 Sept
PSV W
0 : 4
Twente W
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Sittard W

(Away)
16 May
Den Haag W
2 : 0
Sittard W
03 May
Sittard W
0 : 3
PSV W
19 Apr
Sittard W
5 : 0
Telstar W
29 Mar
Feyenoord W
1 : 2
Sittard W
23 Mar
Sittard W
0 : 0
SBV Excelsior W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 22 18 3 1 69:19 57
2 PSV W 22 18 3 1 58:13 57
3 Ajax W 22 17 2 3 57:22 53
4 Utrecht W 22 12 4 6 39:22 40
5 Feyenoord W 22 12 2 8 55:29 38
6 AZ Alkmaar W 22 11 3 8 40:31 36
7 Den Haag W 22 5 6 11 25:43 21
8 Sittard W 22 5 5 12 20:42 20
9 Heerenveen W 22 4 3 15 24:48 15
10 PEC Zwolle W 22 3 5 14 15:44 14
11 Telstar W 22 2 5 15 22:59 11
12 SBV Excelsior W 22 1 7 14 16:68 10
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2025/2026 (Qualification)