Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PSV W vs Twente W

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker Women Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam
Sat, May 16, 2026
2 - 3
02:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Rijsbergen L.
Assist: Thrige S.
67'
Sub
Ripa C. In: Kalma F.
Out: Ripa C.
67'
Sub
Jacobs L. In: Jansen R.
Out: Jacobs L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
PSV W
15%
Draws
67%
Twente W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Twente W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to PSV W lately — more wins on the board than Twente W.
  • Model gives Twente W a 67% chance of winning this.
  • PSV W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Twente W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
PSV W Clean Sheet 10%
Twente W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSV W Twente W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 24 19
Draws 4 3
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.3 2.33
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs Twente W
0:4
Jul 31, 2026 Super Cup Women
PSV W vs Twente W
3:0
May 25, 2026 Eredivisie Cup Women
PSV W vs Twente W
2:0
May 22, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Twente W vs PSV W
1:2
May 16, 2026 KNVB Beker Women
PSV W vs Twente W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSV W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rijsbergen L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Twente W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ravensbergen J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSV W 10 / 100
Twente W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSV W Twente W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Twente W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSV W scored in 91% of their last 33 games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Twente W conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: PSV W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

PSV W VS Twente W
2.38 Goals Scored 3.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

PSV W

(Home)
19 Sept
PSV W
0 : 4
Twente W
13 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
3 : 1
PSV W
06 Sept
Feyenoord W
0 : 6
PSV W
02 Sept
Koge W
1 : 1
PSV W
26 Aug
PSV W
0 : 1
Koge W
Page 1 of 7

Twente W

(Away)
19 Sept
PSV W
0 : 4
Twente W
13 Sept
Twente W
4 : 0
Feyenoord W
06 Sept
Twente W
5 : 1
Heerenveen W
23 Aug
Den Haag W
1 : 7
Twente W
16 Aug
Twente W
2 : 1
De Graafschap W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Groningen W 1
SBV Excelsior W 6
Den Haag W 0
Twente W 2
De Graafschap W 1
Sparta Rotterdam W 3
NAC Breda W 2
Hera United W 3
Feyenoord W 1
PEC Zwolle W 0
Ajax W 1
AZ Alkmaar W 2
PSV W 7
Rijnvogels W 0
Utrecht W 4
Heerenveen W 2
Quarter-finals
SBV Excelsior W 1
Twente W 3
Sparta Rotterdam W 1
Hera United W 2
Feyenoord W 0
AZ Alkmaar W 1
PSV W 3
Utrecht W 0
Semi-finals
Twente W 3
Hera United W 0
AZ Alkmaar W 1
PSV W 2
Final
Twente W 3
PSV W 2