Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PSV W vs Utrecht W

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker Women De Herdgang, Eindhoven
Our Tip

Match Events

51'
Sub
op den Kelder G. In: Weerelts A.
Out: op den Kelder G.
52' Event
Folkertsma S.
61'
Sub
Ripa C. In: Rijsbergen L.
Out: Ripa C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
PSV W
30%
Draws
23%
Utrecht W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PSV W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • PSV W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans PSV W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • PSV W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor PSV W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and PSV W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
PSV W Clean Sheet 68%
Utrecht W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSV W Utrecht W
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 23 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2.42 1.74
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs Utrecht W
1:1
Jan 28, 2026 KNVB Beker Women
PSV W vs Utrecht W
3:0
Jan 25, 2026 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs Utrecht W
3:0
Sep 21, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Utrecht W vs PSV W
1:2
Mar 2, 2025 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs Utrecht W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSV W Compare

Top Goalscorer Folkertsma S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nijstad N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Utrecht W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSV W 86 / 100
Utrecht W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSV W Utrecht W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSV W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSV W's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Utrecht W conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

PSV W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

PSV W VS Utrecht W
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

PSV W

(Home)
06 Sept
Feyenoord W
0 : 6
PSV W
02 Sept
Koge W
1 : 1
PSV W
26 Aug
PSV W
0 : 1
Koge W
22 Aug
PSV W
1 : 1
Utrecht W
16 Aug
PEC Zwolle W
0 : 2
PSV W
Page 1 of 7

Utrecht W

(Away)
06 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
Utrecht W
22 Aug
PSV W
1 : 1
Utrecht W
16 Aug
Utrecht W
0 : 1
Ajax W
07 Aug
Utrecht W
2 : 1
Hera United W
02 Aug
Heerenveen W
3 : 1
Utrecht W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Groningen W 1
SBV Excelsior W 6
Den Haag W 0
Twente W 2
De Graafschap W 1
Sparta Rotterdam W 3
NAC Breda W 2
Hera United W 3
Feyenoord W 1
PEC Zwolle W 0
Ajax W 1
AZ Alkmaar W 2
PSV W 7
Rijnvogels W 0
Utrecht W 4
Heerenveen W 2
Quarter-finals
SBV Excelsior W 1
Twente W 3
Sparta Rotterdam W 1
Hera United W 2
Feyenoord W 0
AZ Alkmaar W 1
PSV W 3
Utrecht W 0
Semi-finals
Twente W 3
Hera United W 0
AZ Alkmaar W 1
PSV W 2
Final
Twente W 3
PSV W 2