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Pucarani vs Tiquipaya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar 2025
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AI Match Summary

Tiquipaya in this Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Pucarani
20%
Draws
57%
Tiquipaya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tiquipaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tiquipaya lately — more wins on the board than Pucarani.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Tiquipaya taking it.
  • Tiquipaya arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tiquipaya, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Pucarani Clean Sheet 14%
Tiquipaya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pucarani Tiquipaya
Matches Played 8 29
Wins 3 14
Draws 1 9
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.97
Goals Conceded 1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.34 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Pucarani vs Tiquipaya
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Tiquipaya vs Pucarani
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pucarani 11 / 100
Tiquipaya 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pucarani Tiquipaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tiquipaya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pucarani found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (8 games).

Tiquipaya let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Pucarani has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pucarani VS Tiquipaya
1.43 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
43% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pucarani

(Home)
26 Oct
Rio San Juan
1 : 1
Pucarani
11 Oct
Pucarani
0 : 1
Rio San Juan
27 Sept
Municipal de Tarija
1 : 0
Pucarani
20 Sept
Pucarani
1 : 2
Tiquipaya
13 Sept
Pucarani
7 : 1
Universitario de Pando
Page 1 of 2

Tiquipaya

(Away)
27 Sept
Virginia
1 : 1
Tiquipaya
19 Sept
Tiquipaya
6 : 0
Universitario Beni
12 Sept
Tiquipaya
5 : 0
San Martin de Yacuiba
05 Sept
Universitario Beni
1 : 2
Tiquipaya
30 Aug
San Martin de Yacuiba
1 : 0
Tiquipaya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 5 0 1 18:5 15
2 Rio San Juan 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
3 Fancesa 6 2 1 3 16:13 7
4 C.A. Chocorosi 6 0 0 6 3:24 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 5 0 1 11:2 15
2 CD Guadalajara 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
3 Central Union 6 2 0 4 8:9 6
4 Ingenieros 6 2 0 4 5:12 6
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Potosi 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
2 Torre Fuerte 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
3 Nueva Cliza 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
4 Nacional Sucre 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 3 2 1 12:5 11
2 Olympic FC 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
3 CD Ingenio 6 2 2 2 9:11 8
4 Chaco FC 6 0 3 3 7:18 3
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Sucre 6 6 0 0 26:5 18
2 Deportivo Shalon 6 2 0 4 19:12 6
3 Libertad FC 6 2 0 4 6:14 6
4 3 de Febrero 6 2 0 4 6:26 6
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tiquipaya 6 5 1 0 18:5 16
2 Municipal de Tarija 6 3 1 2 16:9 10
3 Pucarani 6 3 0 3 11:6 9
4 Universitario de Pando 6 0 0 6 6:31 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams