Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Puebla de la Calzada vs Gevora

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Coronado A. M.
19' Event
Gomez Villalobos J. A.
28' Event
Pozo A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between Puebla de la Calzada and Gevora finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puebla de la Calzada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Puebla de la Calzada
20%
Draws
38%
Gevora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Puebla de la Calzada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Gevora haven't matched Puebla de la Calzada's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Puebla de la Calzada's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Puebla de la Calzada Clean Sheet 13%
Gevora Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla de la Calzada Gevora
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Puebla de la Calzada vs Gevora
3:2
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Gevora vs Puebla de la Calzada
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puebla de la Calzada Compare

Top Goalscorer Coronado A. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pozo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Gevora Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez Villalobos J. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bachuri J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla de la Calzada 40 / 100
Gevora 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla de la Calzada Gevora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Gevora conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Puebla de la Calzada found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Puebla de la Calzada has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Puebla de la Calzada VS Gevora
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Puebla de la Calzada

(Home)
10 May
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 0
Puebla de la Calzada
01 May
Puebla de la Calzada
4 : 1
AD Llerenense
26 Apr
CD Badajoz
5 : 0
Puebla de la Calzada
19 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
3 : 1
Pueblonuevo
12 Apr
Montijo
1 : 0
Puebla de la Calzada
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Gevora

(Away)
10 May
CD Badajoz
3 : 0
Gevora
03 May
Gevora
1 : 1
Pueblonuevo
26 Apr
Montijo
0 : 1
Gevora
19 Apr
Gevora
2 : 1
Moralo
12 Apr
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
Gevora
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34218570:2271
2CD Badajoz34235664:2771
3Moralo341711654:3262
4CD Azuaga34188853:3162
5Jaraiz341611753:3359
6Cabeza del Buey341512745:2957
7SP Villafranca341671145:4055
8Villanovense341581145:3653
9Montijo341371443:4246
10Jerez CF34817956:5141
11AD Llerenense341181535:4441
12Puebla de la Calzada349111435:4838
13Santa Amalia34971830:5234
14Gevora34891732:5333
15Pueblonuevo34961929:5533
16CD Diocesano346121633:6330
17Montehermoso34582124:6623
18CD Calamonte343131825:4722
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)