Sport Picks
Puebla de la Calzada vs Moralo
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 
AI Match Summary
Puebla de la Calzada host Moralo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Puebla de la Calzada at 1.1 goals for, 1.42 against; Moralo at 1.51 for, 0.66 against. Past meetings favor Moralo slightly — 0-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.13 - 1.06) back Moralo to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Moralo have won more games recently than Puebla de la Calzada.
- Puebla de la Calzada are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Moralo here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Puebla de la Calzada | Moralo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 35 |
| Wins | 8 | 21 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.51 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 0.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Puebla de la Calzada has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Puebla de la Calzada's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Moralo has conceded goals in 57% of their last 35 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Puebla de la Calzada
(Home)Moralo
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Azuaga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Moralo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 3 | AD Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 10 |
| 4 | Castuera | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Puebla de la Calzada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 6 | Gevora | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 7 | CD Zafra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 10 | Montijo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 11 | Cabeza del Buey | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 12 | Jerez CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 13 | Jaraiz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Quintana | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 15 | SP Villafranca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 16 | Pueblonuevo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 17 | UP Plasencia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 18 | Guadiana | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:11 | 1 |
