Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Puebla U21 vs Juarez U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Carmona J.
82' Event
Valdivia A.

AI Match Summary

Juarez U21 in this Liga MX U21 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juarez U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Puebla U21
30%
Draws
28%
Juarez U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Puebla U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Juarez U21 have won more games recently than Puebla U21.
  • Puebla U21 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Juarez U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Puebla U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Juarez U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla U21 Juarez U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 0 4
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Liga MX U21
Juarez U21 vs Puebla U21
0:2
Apr 3, 2026 Liga MX U21
Puebla U21 vs Juarez U21
0:2
Oct 24, 2025 Liga MX U21
Juarez U21 vs Puebla U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puebla U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Juarez U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Carmona J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valdivia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla U21 59 / 100
Juarez U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla U21 Juarez U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puebla U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puebla U21 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Puebla U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Juarez U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Puebla U21 VS Juarez U21
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Puebla U21

(Home)
17 Aug
Pachuca U21
0 : 1
Puebla U21
31 Jul
Puebla U21
1 : 0
Guadalajara Chivas U21
21 Jul
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 1
Puebla U21
17 Jul
Juarez U21
0 : 2
Puebla U21
24 Apr
Puebla U21
2 : 3
Queretaro U21
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Juarez U21

(Away)
15 Aug
Monterrey U21
1 : 1
Juarez U21
31 Jul
Juarez U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
17 Jul
Juarez U21
0 : 2
Puebla U21
10 May
Guadalajara Chivas U21
0 : 0
Juarez U21
08 May
Juarez U21
0 : 0
Guadalajara Chivas U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)