Sport Picks
Puebla W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
Mexico
Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla 
Match Events
5'
5'
Gonzalez J.
10'
10'
Lopez A.
12'
12'
Jaramillo C.
AI Match Summary
Guadalajara Chivas W in this Liga MX Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadalajara Chivas W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Guadalajara Chivas W lately — more wins on the board than Puebla W.
- Model gives Guadalajara Chivas W a 64% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga MX Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Guadalajara Chivas W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Puebla W Clean Sheet 10%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Puebla W | Guadalajara Chivas W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 22 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.14 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 3.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:4
Jan 25, 2026 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:3
Oct 12, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Puebla W
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Puebla W
3:0
Aug 6, 2024 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Puebla W Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Guadalajara Chivas W Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jaramillo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.01
Avg xA / game 1.84
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Puebla W 10 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Puebla W Guadalajara Chivas W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guadalajara Chivas W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Puebla W scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Solid form: Puebla W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Puebla W VS Guadalajara Chivas W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Puebla W
(Home) 27 Sept
Puebla W
1 : 2 Monterrey W
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0 Puebla W
13 Sept
Puebla W
2 : 6 Queretaro W
08 Sept
Club Leon W
5 : 2 Puebla W
30 Aug
Puebla W
4 : 1 Necaxa W
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Puebla W
1 : 2 Monterrey W
13 Sept
Puebla W
2 : 6 Queretaro W
30 Aug
Puebla W
4 : 1 Necaxa W
23 Aug
Puebla W
2 : 5 Atletico San Luis W
09 Aug
Puebla W
1 : 4 Guadalajara Chivas W
Page 1 of 3
Guadalajara Chivas W
(Away) 26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas W
19 Sept
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3 Monterrey W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4 Guadalajara Chivas W
30 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas W
0 : 2 UNAM Pumas W
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas W
19 Sept
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4 Guadalajara Chivas W
23 Aug
Pachuca W
3 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas W
09 Aug
Puebla W
1 : 4 Guadalajara Chivas W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America W | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 44:13 | 42 |
| 2 | Monterrey W | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 39:8 | 40 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL W | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 41:13 | 37 |
| 4 | Pachuca W | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 46:15 | 36 |
| 5 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 27:13 | 34 |
| 6 | Toluca W | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 38:26 | 33 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul W | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38:19 | 31 |
| 8 | Juarez W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 27:18 | 29 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana W | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 31:23 | 28 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas W | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23:29 | 22 |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis W | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:32 | 21 |
| 12 | Mazatlan FC W | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:27 | 18 |
| 13 | Club Leon W | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 32:35 | 16 |
| 14 | Atlas W | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 22:40 | 12 |
| 15 | Puebla W | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11:46 | 11 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna W | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14:29 | 9 |
| 17 | Queretaro W | 17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11:46 | 5 |
| 18 | Necaxa W | 17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11:62 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
