Sport Picks

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Puebla W vs Guadalajara Chivas W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Sun, Aug 9, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Puebla W host Guadalajara Chivas W in the Liga MX Women. Guadalajara Chivas W go into this one as the clear favorite. Guadalajara Chivas W have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Puebla W have conceded 2.13 and scored 0.75. Past meetings favor Guadalajara Chivas W slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.69, favoring Guadalajara Chivas W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Puebla W
33%
Draws
40%
Guadalajara Chivas W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Guadalajara Chivas W have won more games recently than Puebla W.
  • Win probability leans Guadalajara Chivas W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Puebla W Clean Sheet 13%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla W Guadalajara Chivas W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 4 17
Draws 5 9
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:3
Oct 12, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Puebla W
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Puebla W
3:0
Aug 6, 2024 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:1
Jan 25, 2024 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla W 27 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla W Guadalajara Chivas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara Chivas W let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Puebla W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Puebla W found the back of the net in 41% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Puebla W VS Guadalajara Chivas W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Puebla W

(Home)
25 Apr
Puebla W
3 : 2
Necaxa W
05 Apr
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 2
Puebla W
01 Apr
Puebla W
0 : 0
Queretaro W
28 Mar
Cruz Azul W
4 : 0
Puebla W
22 Mar
Puebla W
0 : 3
Club America W
Page 1 of 6

Guadalajara Chivas W

(Away)
04 May
Pachuca W
2 : 0
Guadalajara Chivas W
01 May
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
25 Apr
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 1
Toluca W
21 Apr
Juarez W
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
06 Apr
Tigres UANL W
2 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santos Laguna W00000:00
2Tigres UANL W00000:00
3Monterrey W00000:00
4Cruz Azul W00000:00
5Toluca W00000:00
6Club Leon W00000:00
7Queretaro W00000:00
8Juarez W00000:00
9Atlante W00000:00
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UNAM Pumas W00000:00
2Club Tijuana W00000:00
3Pachuca W00000:00
4Club America W00000:00
5Atlas W00000:00
6Guadalajara Chivas W00000:00
7Necaxa W00000:00
8Puebla W00000:00
9Atletico San Luis W00000:00
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)