Sport Picks
Puebla W vs Guadalajara Chivas W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX Women Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla 
Match Events
20'
20'
Casarez J. A.
40'
40'
Sub
Casarez J. A. In: Castro D.
Out: Casarez J. A.
41'
41'
Montoya J.
AI Match Summary
Guadalajara Chivas W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadalajara Chivas W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Guadalajara Chivas W have won more games recently than Puebla W.
- Win probability leans Guadalajara Chivas W's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Guadalajara Chivas W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Puebla W Clean Sheet 10%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Puebla W | Guadalajara Chivas W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 4 | 18 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 23 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 3 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 3.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:4
Jan 25, 2026 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:3
Oct 12, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Puebla W
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Puebla W
3:0
Aug 6, 2024 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Puebla W Compare
Top Goalscorer Micheels B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Guadalajara Chivas W Compare
Top Goalscorer Casarez J. A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Montoya J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.01
Avg xA / game 1.84
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Puebla W 10 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Puebla W Guadalajara Chivas W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guadalajara Chivas W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Puebla W found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).
Guadalajara Chivas W's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Puebla W VS Guadalajara Chivas W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Puebla W
(Home) 02 Oct
Santos Laguna W
1 : 0 Puebla W
27 Sept
Puebla W
1 : 2 Monterrey W
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0 Puebla W
13 Sept
Puebla W
2 : 6 Queretaro W
08 Sept
Club Leon W
5 : 2 Puebla W
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Puebla W
1 : 2 Monterrey W
13 Sept
Puebla W
2 : 6 Queretaro W
30 Aug
Puebla W
4 : 1 Necaxa W
23 Aug
Puebla W
2 : 5 Atletico San Luis W
09 Aug
Puebla W
1 : 4 Guadalajara Chivas W
Page 1 of 3
Guadalajara Chivas W
(Away) 04 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 0 Juarez W
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas W
19 Sept
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3 Monterrey W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4 Guadalajara Chivas W
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas W
19 Sept
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4 Guadalajara Chivas W
23 Aug
Pachuca W
3 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas W
09 Aug
Puebla W
1 : 4 Guadalajara Chivas W
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 39:13 | 27 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32:10 | 25 |
| 3 | Toluca W | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Juarez W | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 5 | Santos Laguna W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:21 | 15 |
| 7 | Club Leon W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 8 | Atlante W | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:13 | 7 |
| 9 | Queretaro W | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:22 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 45:11 | 25 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:11 | 21 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 5 | Atlas W | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 6 | Pachuca W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana W | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13:24 | 9 |
| 8 | Puebla W | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:39 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa W | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3:38 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)
