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Puebla W vs Juarez W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Mercado L.
42'
Sub
Lopez Y. In: Palafox N.
Out: Lopez Y.
45' Event
Solorzano A.

AI Match Summary

Juarez W in this Liga MX Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juarez W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Puebla W
15%
Draws
85%
Juarez W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juarez W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Juarez W have won more games recently than Puebla W.
  • Model gives Juarez W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Juarez W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Puebla W Clean Sheet 10%
Juarez W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla W Juarez W
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 4 18
Draws 4 8
Losses 23 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.59
Goals Conceded 3 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Juarez W
0:2
Jul 19, 2025 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Puebla W
2:0
Jan 7, 2025 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Puebla W
3:0
Nov 3, 2024 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Juarez W
2:4
Apr 21, 2024 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Juarez W
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puebla W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Juarez W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mercado L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solorzano A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla W 10 / 100
Juarez W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla W Juarez W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juarez W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Juarez W conceded in 62% of 34 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Puebla W scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Juarez W registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Puebla W VS Juarez W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
4.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 13%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Puebla W

(Home)
02 Oct
Santos Laguna W
1 : 0
Puebla W
27 Sept
Puebla W
1 : 2
Monterrey W
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0
Puebla W
13 Sept
Puebla W
2 : 6
Queretaro W
08 Sept
Club Leon W
5 : 2
Puebla W
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Juarez W

(Away)
04 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 0
Juarez W
27 Sept
Juarez W
5 : 1
Club Tijuana W
21 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 2
Juarez W
13 Sept
Juarez W
1 : 0
Necaxa W
08 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 1
Juarez W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 17 13 3 1 44:13 42
2 Monterrey W 17 12 4 1 39:8 40
3 Tigres UANL W 17 11 4 2 41:13 37
4 Pachuca W 17 11 3 3 46:15 36
5 Guadalajara Chivas W 17 9 7 1 27:13 34
6 Toluca W 17 10 3 4 38:26 33
7 Cruz Azul W 17 9 4 4 38:19 31
8 Juarez W 17 8 5 4 27:18 29
9 Club Tijuana W 17 8 4 5 31:23 28
10 UNAM Pumas W 17 6 4 7 23:29 22
11 Atletico San Luis W 17 6 3 8 20:32 21
12 Mazatlan FC W 17 5 3 9 19:27 18
13 Club Leon W 17 4 4 9 32:35 16
14 Atlas W 17 3 3 11 22:40 12
15 Puebla W 17 3 2 12 11:46 11
16 Santos Laguna W 17 2 3 12 14:29 9
17 Queretaro W 17 1 2 14 11:46 5
18 Necaxa W 17 1 1 15 11:62 4
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)