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Puebla W vs Santos Laguna W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gonzalez J.
46'
Sub
Nabweteme S. In: Calvillo S.
Out: Nabweteme S.
46'
Sub
Gomez A. In: Novella Y.
Out: Gomez A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women 2025/2026 game between Puebla W and Santos Laguna W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puebla W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Puebla W
15%
Draws
85%
Santos Laguna W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos Laguna W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Santos Laguna W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Santos Laguna W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Puebla W Clean Sheet 10%
Santos Laguna W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla W Santos Laguna W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 3 3
Losses 23 19
Goals Scored 0.9 1.03
Goals Conceded 3.07 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Liga MX Women
Santos Laguna W vs Puebla W
1:0
Feb 6, 2026 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Santos Laguna W
2:0
Sep 30, 2025 Liga MX Women
Santos Laguna W vs Puebla W
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Santos Laguna W
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Liga MX Women
Santos Laguna W vs Puebla W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puebla W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Campa M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Santos Laguna W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla W 18 / 100
Santos Laguna W 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla W Santos Laguna W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos Laguna W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santos Laguna W conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Puebla W found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Santos Laguna W's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Puebla W VS Santos Laguna W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
4.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Puebla W

(Home)
02 Oct
Santos Laguna W
1 : 0
Puebla W
27 Sept
Puebla W
1 : 2
Monterrey W
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0
Puebla W
13 Sept
Puebla W
2 : 6
Queretaro W
08 Sept
Club Leon W
5 : 2
Puebla W
Page 1 of 6

Santos Laguna W

(Away)
02 Oct
Santos Laguna W
1 : 0
Puebla W
26 Sept
Pachuca W
4 : 1
Santos Laguna W
22 Sept
Santos Laguna W
2 : 0
Cruz Azul W
13 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 3
Santos Laguna W
07 Sept
Tigres UANL W
3 : 0
Santos Laguna W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 17 13 3 1 44:13 42
2 Monterrey W 17 12 4 1 39:8 40
3 Tigres UANL W 17 11 4 2 41:13 37
4 Pachuca W 17 11 3 3 46:15 36
5 Guadalajara Chivas W 17 9 7 1 27:13 34
6 Toluca W 17 10 3 4 38:26 33
7 Cruz Azul W 17 9 4 4 38:19 31
8 Juarez W 17 8 5 4 27:18 29
9 Club Tijuana W 17 8 4 5 31:23 28
10 UNAM Pumas W 17 6 4 7 23:29 22
11 Atletico San Luis W 17 6 3 8 20:32 21
12 Mazatlan FC W 17 5 3 9 19:27 18
13 Club Leon W 17 4 4 9 32:35 16
14 Atlas W 17 3 3 11 22:40 12
15 Puebla W 17 3 2 12 11:46 11
16 Santos Laguna W 17 2 3 12 14:29 9
17 Queretaro W 17 1 2 14 11:46 5
18 Necaxa W 17 1 1 15 11:62 4
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)