Sport Picks
Pueblonuevo vs Jerez CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 
Match Events
1'
1'
Chavez C.
13'
13'
Izquierdo L.
78'
78'
Sanchez F.
AI Match Summary
Pueblonuevo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pueblonuevo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jerez CF
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Jerez CF lately — more wins on the board than Pueblonuevo.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Pueblonuevo Clean Sheet 14%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pueblonuevo | Jerez CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs Jerez CF
3:2
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Pueblonuevo
5:1
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs Jerez CF
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Pueblonuevo
3:0
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs Jerez CF
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pueblonuevo Compare
Top Goalscorer Izquierdo L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sanchez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Jerez CF Compare
Top Goalscorer Chavez C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Diarrassouba B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pueblonuevo 35 / 100
Jerez CF 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pueblonuevo Jerez CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jerez CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jerez CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Pueblonuevo's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Pueblonuevo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pueblonuevo VS Jerez CF
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pueblonuevo
(Home) 03 Oct
Pueblonuevo
0 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1 Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1 Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2 Pueblonuevo
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Pueblonuevo
0 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
30 Aug
Pueblonuevo
0 : 5 CD Badajoz
10 May
Pueblonuevo
1 : 0 CD Azuaga
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0 CD Calamonte
12 Apr
Pueblonuevo
1 : 0 Jaraiz
Page 1 of 3
Jerez CF
(Away) 27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0 Jerez CF
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2 Castuera
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1 Jerez CF
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1 Montehermoso
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0 Jerez CF
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1 Jerez CF
03 May
SP Villafranca
2 : 1 Jerez CF
26 Apr
Villanovense
2 : 0 Jerez CF
12 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
3 : 0 Jerez CF
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 70:22 | 71 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 64:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Moralo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:29 | 57 |
| 7 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 43:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 56:51 | 41 |
| 11 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:52 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32:53 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 29:55 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 33:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24:66 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25:47 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
