Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Pueblonuevo

2 - 2

Montijo

Our Tip

Match Events

58'

Sanchez A.

68'

Gomez Spinoglio M.

78'

Onwugamba K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 game between Pueblonuevo and Montijo finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Pueblonuevo

39%

Draws

31%

Montijo

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Montijo come out ahead of Pueblonuevo on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Pueblonuevo Clean Sheet 68%

Montijo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pueblonuevo	Montijo
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	12
Draws	6	6
Losses	15	12
Goals Scored	1.25	1.63
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Pueblonuevo vs Montijo

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Montijo vs Pueblonuevo

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Montijo vs Pueblonuevo

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Pueblonuevo vs Montijo

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

1:1

Aug 6, 2022 Club Friendly

Pueblonuevo vs Montijo

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pueblonuevo Compare

Top Goalscorer Onwugamba K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Izquierdo L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Montijo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gomez Spinoglio M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pueblonuevo 41 / 100

Montijo 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pueblonuevo Montijo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PUE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pueblonuevo scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Montijo has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Pueblonuevo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pueblonuevo VS Montijo

1.25 Goals Scored 1.63

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Don Benito	34	21	8	5	70:22	71
2	CD Badajoz	34	23	5	6	64:27	71
3	Moralo	34	17	11	6	54:32	62
4	CD Azuaga	34	18	8	8	53:31	62
5	Jaraiz	34	16	11	7	53:33	59
6	Cabeza del Buey	34	15	12	7	45:29	57
7	SP Villafranca	34	16	7	11	45:40	55
8	Villanovense	34	15	8	11	45:36	53
9	Montijo	34	13	7	14	43:42	46
10	Jerez CF	34	8	17	9	56:51	41
11	AD Llerenense	34	11	8	15	35:44	41
12	Puebla de la Calzada	34	9	11	14	35:48	38
13	Santa Amalia	34	9	7	18	30:52	34
14	Gevora	34	8	9	17	32:53	33
15	Pueblonuevo	34	9	6	19	29:55	33
16	CD Diocesano	34	6	12	16	33:63	30
17	Montehermoso	34	5	8	21	24:66	23
18	CD Calamonte	34	3	13	18	25:47	22