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Pueblonuevo vs UP Plasencia

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 game between Pueblonuevo and UP Plasencia finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pueblonuevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Pueblonuevo
35%
Draws
26%
UP Plasencia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pueblonuevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Pueblonuevo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Pueblonuevo Clean Sheet 68%
UP Plasencia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pueblonuevo UP Plasencia
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.16 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs UP Plasencia
4:2
Nov 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs Pueblonuevo
1:2
Apr 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs Pueblonuevo
6:0
Nov 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs UP Plasencia
1:0
May 13, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs Pueblonuevo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pueblonuevo 41 / 100
UP Plasencia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pueblonuevo UP Plasencia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pueblonuevo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Pueblonuevo scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: UP Plasencia conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Pueblonuevo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pueblonuevo VS UP Plasencia
1 Goals Scored 0.33
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Pueblonuevo

(Home)
03 Oct
Pueblonuevo
0 : 0
Puebla de la Calzada
27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1
Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1
Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1
Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2
Pueblonuevo
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UP Plasencia

(Away)
27 Sept
Castuera
1 : 0
UP Plasencia
19 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 3
Puebla de la Calzada
13 Sept
Gevora
4 : 2
UP Plasencia
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
31 Aug
Jaraiz
0 : 0
UP Plasencia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Llerenense 30 18 10 2 52:22 64
2 CD Azuaga 30 19 5 6 58:29 62
3 Moralo 30 15 10 5 52:24 55
4 Olivenza FC 30 15 8 7 46:33 53
5 Jerez CF 30 13 10 7 39:25 49
6 Arroyo 30 13 7 10 30:31 46
7 CF Trujillo 30 12 8 10 28:28 44
8 SP Villafranca 30 12 7 11 34:33 43
9 CD Calamonte 30 12 6 12 38:33 42
10 Fuente de Cantos 30 9 12 9 23:28 39
11 Pueblonuevo 30 7 11 12 36:41 32
12 Montehermoso 30 8 7 15 31:53 31
13 Don Alvaro 30 7 6 17 27:54 27
14 Miajadas 30 7 5 18 23:41 26
15 UP Plasencia 30 6 6 18 31:43 24
16 La Estrella 30 5 6 19 30:60 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 (Play Offs)