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Puerta Bonita vs Alcorcon B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alcorcon B in this Tercera Division - Group 7 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcorcon B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Puerta Bonita
30%
Draws
37%
Alcorcon B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcorcon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Alcorcon B have won more games recently than Puerta Bonita.
  • Model gives Alcorcon B a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Puerta Bonita Clean Sheet 20%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puerta Bonita Alcorcon B
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Puerta Bonita vs Alcorcon B
1:2
Sep 6, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Puerta Bonita
1:1
Mar 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Puerta Bonita
2:1
Oct 12, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Puerta Bonita vs Alcorcon B
0:0
Jan 20, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Puerta Bonita vs Alcorcon B
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puerta Bonita 10 / 100
Alcorcon B 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puerta Bonita Alcorcon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puerta Bonita found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Alcorcon B conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Puerta Bonita stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alcorcon B
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Puerta Bonita

(Home)
15 May
Puerta Bonita
1 : 1
Mexico
08 May
Rayo Vallecano B
0 : 1
Puerta Bonita
01 May
Puerta Bonita
2 : 0
Collado Villalba
24 Apr
San Sebastian Reyes
2 : 1
Puerta Bonita
17 Apr
Puerta Bonita
0 : 5
Union Adarve
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Alcorcon B

(Away)
10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcorcon B
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1
AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1
Mexico
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Sebastian Reyes 38 24 9 5 68:26 81
2 Navalcarnero 38 20 12 6 76:42 72
3 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 18 15 5 52:34 69
4 Atl. Madrid B 38 17 13 8 48:29 64
5 San Fernando de Henares 38 16 12 10 58:45 60
6 Union Adarve 38 17 8 13 55:38 59
7 Atletico Pinto 38 15 12 11 42:36 57
8 RSD Alcala 38 17 6 15 53:49 57
9 Trival Valderas 38 15 12 11 44:35 57
10 Alcorcon B 38 15 10 13 57:53 55
11 CD Mostoles 38 12 16 10 48:40 52
12 Mexico 38 12 14 12 47:40 50
13 Aravaca CF 38 10 17 11 43:48 47
14 Parla 38 12 11 15 41:50 47
15 Rayo Vallecano B 38 10 16 12 44:42 46
16 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 9 16 13 33:43 43
17 Colonia Moscardo 38 7 13 18 36:55 34
18 Puerta Bonita 38 6 15 17 40:56 33
19 CDE Lugo Fuenlabrada 38 7 11 20 31:57 32
20 Collado Villalba 38 1 2 35 19:117 5
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)