Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2011/2012

Manzanares

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Puertollano B play Manzanares in the Tercera Division - Group 18 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Puertollano B averaged 0.93 goals scored and 2 conceded. Manzanares averaged 0.69 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Puertollano B won 0, Manzanares won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 22, 2012 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Puertollano B and 0.80 for Manzanares. This points to a Puertollano B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Puertollano B

24%

Draws

30%

Manzanares

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Puertollano B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Puertollano B picked up more points recently compared to Manzanares.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 0.80 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Puertollano B Clean Sheet 26%

Manzanares Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Puertollano B	Manzanares
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	6	1
Draws	5	10
Losses	19	21
Goals Scored	0.93	0.69
Goals Conceded	2	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Puertollano B vs Manzanares

Possession: 55% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Nov 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Manzanares vs Puertollano B

Possession: 55% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puertollano B 47 / 100

Manzanares 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Puertollano B Manzanares

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Puertollano B or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Puertollano B attacking → ← attacking Manzanares

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puertollano B scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Manzanares let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Puertollano B went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Manzanares lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 13

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Villarrobledo	38	26	8	4	67:26	86
2	UD Almansa	38	18	13	7	56:26	67
3	Azuqueca	38	19	10	9	64:39	67
4	Albacete B	38	18	13	7	60:25	67
5	Illescas	38	19	9	10	54:36	66
6	Villarrubia	38	19	9	10	69:44	66
7	Alcazar	38	18	10	10	50:34	64
8	Quintanar del Rey	38	15	9	14	57:60	54
9	Madridejos	38	13	14	11	50:49	53
10	Marchamalo	38	11	12	15	50:51	45
11	Torrijos	38	12	9	17	42:59	45
12	Manzanares	38	10	14	14	46:51	44
13	Hellin Deportivo	38	9	17	12	37:48	44
14	UD Talavera	38	10	13	15	40:46	43
15	Atletico Ibanes	38	9	16	13	35:57	43
16	Socuellamos	38	10	10	18	48:58	40
17	Tomelloso	38	11	7	20	43:57	40
18	La Gineta	38	11	6	21	41:63	39
19	CD Carranque	38	8	9	21	23:63	30
20	Puertollano B	38	7	6	25	38:78	27