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Puertollano C.F. vs RSD Alcala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Puertollano C.F. host RSD Alcala in the Segunda RFEF - Group 5. Little to choose between these two on current form. RSD Alcala have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Puertollano C.F. have conceded 0.76 and scored 1.31. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.44) point toward Puertollano C.F.. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Puertollano C.F.
15%
Draws
51%
RSD Alcala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RSD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • RSD Alcala haven't matched Puertollano C.F.'s recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans RSD Alcala's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Puertollano C.F. Clean Sheet 16%
RSD Alcala Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puertollano C.F. RSD Alcala
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puertollano C.F. 23 / 100
RSD Alcala 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puertollano C.F. RSD Alcala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RSD Alcala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puertollano C.F.'s goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: RSD Alcala conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

RSD Alcala's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Puertollano C.F. went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Puertollano C.F. VS RSD Alcala
0.63 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Puertollano C.F.

(Home)
04 Oct
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 0
Puertollano C.F.
27 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
1 : 0
Atletico Tordesillas
20 Sept
Real Avila
2 : 1
Puertollano C.F.
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0
Atletico Paso
06 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 3
Gimnastica Segoviana
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RSD Alcala

(Away)
04 Oct
RSD Alcala
1 : 3
Navalcarnero
27 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0
RSD Alcala
20 Sept
RSD Alcala
5 : 2
Gimnastica Segoviana
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1
RSD Alcala
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0
CF Talavera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 5 4 0 1 8:5 12
2 Numancia 5 3 2 0 5:0 11
3 San Sebastian Reyes 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
4 Conquense 5 3 1 1 10:7 10
5 Valladolid Promesas 5 3 0 2 11:4 9
6 Salamanca CF UDS 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
7 CF Talavera 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
8 Gimnastica Segoviana 5 2 1 2 11:10 7
9 Navalcarnero 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
10 RSD Alcala 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
11 Real Avila 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
12 Guadalajara 5 1 2 2 8:9 5
13 Atletico Paso 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
14 Albacete B 5 1 2 2 7:15 5
15 Atletico Tordesillas 5 1 1 3 8:10 4
16 Puertollano C.F. 5 1 1 3 2:8 4
17 Getafe B 5 0 3 2 3:5 3
18 Real Madrid C 5 0 3 2 1:4 3
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)