Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Puertollano C.F. vs Tomelloso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Guillen E.

AI Match Summary

Puertollano C.F. in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puertollano C.F..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Puertollano C.F.
15%
Draws
51%
Tomelloso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tomelloso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Puertollano C.F. have won more games recently than Tomelloso.
  • Model gives Puertollano C.F. a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Puertollano C.F. Clean Sheet 20%
Tomelloso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puertollano C.F. Tomelloso
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 20 4
Draws 5 9
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.33 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Puertollano C.F.
1:3
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Puertollano C.F. vs Tomelloso
1:0
Feb 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Puertollano C.F.
3:2
Oct 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Puertollano C.F. vs Tomelloso
4:0
Apr 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Puertollano C.F. vs Tomelloso
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puertollano C.F. Compare

Top Goalscorer Guillen E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Tomelloso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puertollano C.F. 42 / 100
Tomelloso 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puertollano C.F. Tomelloso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomelloso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Puertollano C.F. scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Tomelloso lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Puertollano C.F. VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Puertollano C.F.

(Home)
04 Oct
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 0
Puertollano C.F.
27 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
1 : 0
Atletico Tordesillas
20 Sept
Real Avila
2 : 1
Puertollano C.F.
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0
Atletico Paso
06 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 3
Gimnastica Segoviana
Page 1 of 7

Tomelloso

(Away)
12 May
Tomelloso
1 : 3
Puertollano C.F.
05 May
San Clemente
4 : 0
Tomelloso
01 May
Tomelloso
0 : 2
Albacete B
27 Apr
Marchamalo
0 : 1
Tomelloso
21 Apr
Tomelloso
2 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Conquense 34 21 10 3 57:18 73
2 Cazalegas 34 17 8 9 48:35 59
3 Toledo 34 16 10 8 47:25 58
4 Socuellamos 34 15 13 6 48:28 58
5 Quintanar del Rey 34 16 9 9 46:29 57
6 Puertollano C.F. 34 15 11 8 48:33 56
7 Villarrubia 34 15 10 9 36:31 55
8 CD Tarancon 34 11 14 9 38:31 47
9 Albacete B 34 12 10 12 47:49 46
10 Azuqueca 34 10 11 13 40:46 41
11 Villacanas 34 10 11 13 34:36 41
12 Villarrobledo 34 10 11 13 28:37 41
13 Marchamalo 34 10 9 15 27:38 39
14 Huracan de Balazote 34 8 15 11 35:47 39
15 La Solana 34 10 9 15 34:39 39
16 Torrijos 34 5 13 16 23:45 28
17 Tomelloso 34 5 11 18 24:55 26
18 San Clemente 34 4 7 23 28:66 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 (Play Offs)