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Puertollano C.F. vs Torrijos

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Hwang B.
58' Event
Calvo E.
89' Event
Cantarino Abelleira D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 game between Puertollano C.F. and Torrijos finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puertollano C.F..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Puertollano C.F.
30%
Draws
51%
Torrijos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Torrijos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Puertollano C.F. come out ahead of Torrijos on wins alone.
  • Torrijos are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 57.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Puertollano C.F. Clean Sheet 26%
Torrijos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puertollano C.F. Torrijos
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 21 8
Draws 5 10
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.39 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.64 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Puertollano C.F. vs Torrijos
2:1
Sep 10, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos vs Puertollano C.F.
0:0
Feb 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos vs Puertollano C.F.
0:1
Oct 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Puertollano C.F. vs Torrijos
0:1
May 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos vs Puertollano C.F.
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puertollano C.F. Compare

Top Goalscorer Hwang B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cantarino Abelleira D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Torrijos Compare

Top Goalscorer Calvo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puertollano C.F. 17 / 100
Torrijos 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puertollano C.F. Torrijos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torrijos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Puertollano C.F. scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Torrijos conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Puertollano C.F. stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Puertollano C.F. VS Torrijos
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.2
75% Over 1.5 40%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Puertollano C.F.

(Home)
27 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
1 : 0
Atletico Tordesillas
20 Sept
Real Avila
2 : 1
Puertollano C.F.
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0
Atletico Paso
06 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 3
Gimnastica Segoviana
30 Aug
Don Benito
1 : 0
Puertollano C.F.
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Torrijos

(Away)
27 Sept
Torrijos
2 : 0
Quintanar del Rey
20 Sept
Socuellamos
1 : 1
Torrijos
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0
CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
0 : 1
Torrijos
25 Aug
Torrijos
0 : 0
CDE Madrid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Conquense 34 21 10 3 57:18 73
2 Cazalegas 34 17 8 9 48:35 59
3 Toledo 34 16 10 8 47:25 58
4 Socuellamos 34 15 13 6 48:28 58
5 Quintanar del Rey 34 16 9 9 46:29 57
6 Puertollano C.F. 34 15 11 8 48:33 56
7 Villarrubia 34 15 10 9 36:31 55
8 CD Tarancon 34 11 14 9 38:31 47
9 Albacete B 34 12 10 12 47:49 46
10 Azuqueca 34 10 11 13 40:46 41
11 Villacanas 34 10 11 13 34:36 41
12 Villarrobledo 34 10 11 13 28:37 41
13 Marchamalo 34 10 9 15 27:38 39
14 Huracan de Balazote 34 8 15 11 35:47 39
15 La Solana 34 10 9 15 34:39 39
16 Torrijos 34 5 13 16 23:45 28
17 Tomelloso 34 5 11 18 24:55 26
18 San Clemente 34 4 7 23 28:66 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 (Play Offs)