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Pune vs Mohun Bagan

India India

I-League 2014/2015
Pune Logo

Pune

0 - 2
FT
Mohun Bagan Logo

Mohun Bagan

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Lalpekhlua J.
7'
Marcelino E.
28'
Nikac D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mohun Bagan in this I-League 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mohun Bagan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Pune
15%
Draws
53%
Mohun Bagan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mohun Bagan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mohun Bagan lately — more wins on the board than Pune.
  • Win probability leans Mohun Bagan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular I-League 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Pune Clean Sheet 23%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pune Mohun Bagan
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 19
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 2
Goals Scored 1.27 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2015 I-League
Pune vs Mohun Bagan
0:2
Feb 7, 2015 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Pune
1:0
Dec 21, 2013 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Pune
3:1
Oct 10, 2013 I-League
Pune vs Mohun Bagan
2:0
Apr 24, 2013 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Pune
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pune Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Mohun Bagan Compare

Top Goalscorer Lalpekhlua J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Katsumi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pune 10 / 100
Mohun Bagan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pune Mohun Bagan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohun Bagan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pune scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Mohun Bagan let in goals in 41% of their last 29 matches.

Pune went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mohun Bagan
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pune

(Home)
30 May
SC Goa
4 : 0
Pune
24 May
Lajong
0 : 1
Pune
17 May
East Bengal
1 : 2
Pune
10 May
Kalyani Bharat
1 : 0
Pune
25 Apr
Pune
0 : 2
Mohun Bagan
Page 1 of 6

Mohun Bagan

(Away)
04 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
Minerva Punjab
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
North East United
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
Sreenidi Deccan
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1
Mohun Bagan
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
North East United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 20 11 6 3 33:16 39
2 Bengaluru FC 20 10 7 3 35:19 37
3 Royal Wahingdoh 20 8 6 6 27:27 30
4 East Bengal 20 8 5 7 30:28 29
5 Pune 20 8 5 7 24:26 29
6 Mumbai 20 5 9 6 22:27 24
7 Salgaocar SC 20 7 3 10 25:27 24
8 SC Goa 20 5 8 7 22:27 23
9 Lajong 20 6 5 9 34:29 23
10 Dempo 20 3 10 7 15:26 19
11 Kalyani Bharat 20 4 6 10 13:28 18
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Cup 2016 (Qualification - Play Offs)