Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Puntarenas FC vs Herediano

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Angel Lito Perez Treacy, Puntarenas
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Araya D.
45'
Sibaja G.
45'
Gomez I.

AI Match Summary

Herediano in this Primera Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Herediano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Puntarenas FC
15%
Draws
32%
Herediano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puntarenas FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Herediano have won more games recently than Puntarenas FC.
  • Model gives Puntarenas FC a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Herediano here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Puntarenas FC Clean Sheet 68%
Herediano Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puntarenas FC Herediano
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Puntarenas FC
3:0
Apr 5, 2026 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Herediano
0:1
Feb 11, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Puntarenas FC vs Herediano
3:0
Feb 3, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Herediano vs Puntarenas FC
1:0
Jan 29, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Puntarenas FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puntarenas FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Herediano Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puntarenas FC 68 / 100
Herediano 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puntarenas FC Herediano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puntarenas FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Puntarenas FC scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Puntarenas FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Herediano has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Puntarenas FC VS Herediano
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Puntarenas FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 0
Escorpiones
12 Sept
Inter San Carlos
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
06 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Cartagines
30 Aug
San Carlos
1 : 2
Puntarenas FC
22 Aug
Puntarenas FC
1 : 0
Zeledon
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Herediano

(Away)
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
13 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2
Herediano
05 Sept
Herediano
2 : 3
Zeledon
30 Aug
Cartagines
1 : 0
Herediano
27 Aug
Herediano
2 : 1
Antigua
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Herediano 18 12 2 4 26:10 38
2 Saprissa 18 10 4 4 34:19 34
3 Liberia 18 10 3 5 24:18 33
4 Cartagines 18 10 2 6 26:20 32
5 Alajuelense 18 7 5 6 28:20 26
6 Sporting FC 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
7 San Carlos 18 6 3 9 21:25 21
8 Puntarenas FC 18 4 4 10 22:29 16
9 Zeledon 18 2 8 8 19:30 14
10 Guadalupe 18 3 5 10 13:37 14
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)