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Puntarenas FC vs Herediano

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Angel Lito Perez Treacy, Puntarenas
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Araya D.
45'
Sibaja G.
45'
Gomez I.

AI Match Summary

Herediano in this Primera Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Herediano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Puntarenas FC
6%
Draws
90%
Herediano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Herediano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Herediano have won more games recently than Puntarenas FC.
  • Model gives Herediano a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Puntarenas FC Clean Sheet 14%
Herediano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puntarenas FC Herediano
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 20
Draws 10 4
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Herediano
0:1
Feb 11, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Puntarenas FC vs Herediano
3:0
Feb 3, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Herediano vs Puntarenas FC
1:0
Jan 29, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Puntarenas FC
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Herediano
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puntarenas FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Herediano Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puntarenas FC 10 / 100
Herediano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puntarenas FC Herediano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Puntarenas FC scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Herediano conceded in 45% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Puntarenas FC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Puntarenas FC VS Herediano
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Puntarenas FC

(Home)
26 Apr
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Saprissa
24 Apr
Alajuelense
5 : 2
Puntarenas FC
19 Apr
Puntarenas FC
1 : 2
Sporting FC
12 Apr
Zeledon
3 : 3
Puntarenas FC
05 Apr
Puntarenas FC
0 : 1
Herediano
Page 1 of 7

Herediano

(Away)
18 Jul
Herediano
1 : 0
Saprissa
12 Jul
Alajuelense
0 : 1
Herediano
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0
Saprissa
14 May
Saprissa
2 : 1
Herediano
10 May
Herediano
0 : 0
Cartagines
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)