Sport Picks

Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Angel Lito Perez Treacy

Liberia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Puntarenas FC play Liberia in the Primera Division 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Puntarenas FC averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Liberia averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, Puntarenas FC won 1, Liberia won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Puntarenas FC and 1.94 for Liberia. This points to a Liberia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Puntarenas FC

33%

Draws

41%

Liberia

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Liberia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Puntarenas FC picked up more points recently compared to Liberia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Puntarenas FC Clean Sheet 10%

Liberia Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Puntarenas FC	Liberia
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	6	13
Draws	10	8
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	1.2	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.33	1.26
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Primera Division

Puntarenas FC vs Liberia

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Feb 7, 2026 Primera Division

Liberia vs Puntarenas FC

Possession: 45% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

1:4

Oct 15, 2025 Primera Division

Liberia vs Puntarenas FC

Possession: 46% - 46% Cards: 3 - 4

0:0

Aug 23, 2025 Primera Division

Puntarenas FC vs Liberia

Possession: 51% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

0:3

Apr 6, 2025 Primera Division

Liberia vs Puntarenas FC

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puntarenas FC 25 / 100

Liberia 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Puntarenas FC Liberia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Liberia or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Puntarenas FC attacking → ← attacking Liberia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puntarenas FC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Liberia let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Puntarenas FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Liberia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 47

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Herediano	18	12	2	4	26:10	38
2	Saprissa	18	10	4	4	34:19	34
3	Liberia	18	10	3	5	24:18	33
4	Cartagines	18	10	2	6	26:20	32
5	Alajuelense	18	7	5	6	28:20	26
6	Sporting FC	18	6	4	8	16:21	22
7	San Carlos	18	6	3	9	21:25	21
8	Puntarenas FC	18	4	4	10	22:29	16
9	Zeledon	18	2	8	8	19:30	14
10	Guadalupe	18	3	5	10	13:37	14