Sport Picks
Pure Swansea vs Caerphilly Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru South 
AI Match Summary
Pure Swansea host Caerphilly in the Cymru South. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Caerphilly have shipped 2.15 goals a game lately, while Pure Swansea have conceded 1.61 and scored 1.68. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 2.56 vs 1.13, favoring Pure Swansea. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Pure Swansea carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Pure Swansea's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pure Swansea | Caerphilly |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 13 |
| Wins | 11 | 3 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 2.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caerphilly let in goals in 85% of their last 13 matches.
Solid form: Pure Swansea remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Pure Swansea's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Difficult form: Caerphilly registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Pure Swansea
(Home)Caerphilly
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Pontypridd United | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Carmarthen Town | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Caerau Ely | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 13 |
| 6 | Treowen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 7 | Baglan Dragons | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 9 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 10 |
| 10 | Ynyshir Albions | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 11 | Caerphilly | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Newport City | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 14 | Pontardawe | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6:25 | 2 |
