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Pure Swansea vs Cambrian United Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Sellick G.

AI Match Summary

Pure Swansea in this Cymru South 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pure Swansea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Pure Swansea
20%
Draws
36%
Cambrian United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pure Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cambrian United lately — more wins on the board than Pure Swansea.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Pure Swansea taking it.
  • Regular Cymru South 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 18%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pure Swansea Cambrian United
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 12 21
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.72 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2023 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Cambrian United
1:0
Dec 6, 2022 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Pure Swansea
2:3
Jul 22, 2022 League Cup
Pure Swansea vs Cambrian United
4:3
Mar 12, 2022 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Pure Swansea
0:0
Aug 20, 2021 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Cambrian United
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pure Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Sellick G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Cambrian United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pure Swansea 85 / 100
Cambrian United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pure Swansea Cambrian United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pure Swansea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Pure Swansea remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Pure Swansea scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Cambrian United conceded in 52% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pure Swansea VS Cambrian United
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pure Swansea

(Home)
03 Oct
Pure Swansea
3 : 1
Caerphilly
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0
Pure Swansea
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0
Pontardawe
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4
Pontypridd United
21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5
Pure Swansea
Page 1 of 6

Cambrian United

(Away)
03 Oct
TNS
9 : 0
Cambrian United
26 Sept
Cambrian United
4 : 3
Llandudno FC
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1
Cambrian United
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4
Cambrian United
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barry Town 30 25 3 2 78:25 78
2 Llanelli 30 19 5 6 63:34 62
3 Briton Ferry 30 17 9 4 72:33 60
4 Carmarthen Town 30 16 4 10 66:41 52
5 Cambrian United 30 14 5 11 64:53 47
6 Afan Lido 30 13 8 9 61:52 47
7 Llantwit Major 30 13 6 11 46:40 45
8 Cwmbran Celtic 30 10 8 12 62:53 38
9 Pontardawe 30 12 1 17 51:73 37
10 Ammanford Town 30 8 9 13 40:57 33
11 Taffs Well 30 8 8 14 50:54 32
12 Goytre Utd 30 8 8 14 45:67 32
13 Abergavenny Town 30 9 5 16 35:60 32
14 Trefelin 30 7 6 17 47:70 27
15 Pure Swansea 30 6 8 16 30:64 26
16 Ynyshir Albions 30 7 3 20 33:67 24
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2023/2024 (Main)