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Pure Swansea vs Cardiff Draconians - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pure Swansea host Cardiff Draconians in the Cymru South. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Pure Swansea at 1.81 goals for, 1.63 against; Cardiff Draconians at 1.72 for, 1.97 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (2.56 - 1.56) back Pure Swansea to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Pure Swansea
35%
Draws
23%
Cardiff Draconians
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pure Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Pure Swansea have won more games recently than Cardiff Draconians.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Pure Swansea taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 15%
Cardiff Draconians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pure Swansea Cardiff Draconians
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.81 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pure Swansea 84 / 100
Cardiff Draconians 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pure Swansea Cardiff Draconians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pure Swansea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cardiff Draconians conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Pure Swansea stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Pure Swansea's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Cardiff Draconians lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pure Swansea VS Cardiff Draconians
3.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pure Swansea

(Home)
09 Oct
Afan Lido
5 : 5
Pure Swansea
03 Oct
Pure Swansea
3 : 1
Caerphilly
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0
Pure Swansea
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0
Pontardawe
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4
Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 6

Cardiff Draconians

(Away)
23 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
3 : 1
Cardiff Draconians
17 Oct
Radnor Valley
1 : 3
Cardiff Draconians
10 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 2
Carmarthen Town
03 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 1
Newport City
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3
Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Pontypridd United 11 6 3 2 28:21 21
3 Aberystwyth 9 6 1 2 22:9 19
4 Caerau Ely 11 6 1 4 22:20 19
5 Baglan Dragons 11 5 2 4 12:12 17
6 Ynyshir Albions 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
7 Trethomas Bluebirds 11 4 4 3 23:19 16
8 Carmarthen Town 11 4 3 4 23:24 15
9 Afan Lido 12 4 3 5 21:22 15
10 Caerphilly 11 4 2 5 15:20 14
11 Treowen 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 Llantwit Major 10 3 2 5 10:21 11
13 Pontardawe 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
14 Newport City 9 2 3 4 16:13 9
15 Cardiff Draconians 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
16 Llanelli 12 0 2 10 9:36 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)