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Puskas Academy vs Paks - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB I. Pancho Arena, Felcsút
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Lukacs D.
(Penalty)
30' Event
Szalai J.
Assist: Haraszti Z.
41' Event
Dardai P.
Assist: Nemeth A.

AI Match Summary

The NB I. game between Puskas Academy and Paks finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puskas Academy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Puskas Academy
15%
Draws
53%
Paks
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Paks carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Puskas Academy are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Puskas Academy Clean Sheet 12%
Paks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puskas Academy Paks
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.54 2.57
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 NB I.
Puskas Academy vs Paks
3:2
Apr 19, 2026 NB I.
Paks vs Puskas Academy
1:0
Jan 24, 2026 NB I.
Puskas Academy vs Paks
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 NB I.
Paks vs Puskas Academy
3:2
Apr 19, 2025 NB I.
Paks vs Puskas Academy
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puskas Academy Compare

Top Goalscorer Dardai P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colley L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Paks Compare

Top Goalscorer Szalai J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Windecker J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puskas Academy 56 / 100
Paks 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puskas Academy Paks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puskas Academy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paks has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Puskas Academy's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Puskas Academy remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Puskas Academy VS Paks
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Puskas Academy

(Home)
01 Oct
Dun. Streda
2 : 1
Puskas Academy
18 Sept
Puskas Academy
3 : 1
Honved
13 Sept
Mezoors
1 : 8
Puskas Academy
06 Sept
Zalaegerszegi
1 : 0
Puskas Academy
30 Aug
Puskas Academy
1 : 2
Ferencvaros
Page 1 of 6

Paks

(Away)
19 Sept
Kisvarda FC
0 : 1
Paks
12 Sept
Kazincbarcika
1 : 2
Paks
05 Sept
Paks
2 : 4
Debrecen
29 Aug
Nyiregyhaza
1 : 1
Paks
21 Aug
Paks
2 : 0
Ujpest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puskas Academy 8 5 0 3 13:10 15
2 Gyor 8 4 3 1 16:10 15
3 Vasas 8 4 2 2 17:11 14
4 Ujpest 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
5 Ferencvaros 7 3 3 1 11:8 12
6 Paks 8 3 2 3 16:17 11
7 MTK Budapest 8 2 3 3 15:14 9
8 Kisvarda FC 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
9 Debrecen 8 2 3 3 12:15 9
10 Nyiregyhaza 8 2 2 4 9:14 8
11 Zalaegerszegi 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
12 Honved 7 1 3 3 11:14 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)