Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Puszcza vs Polonia Bytom - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, Niepołomice
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Puszcza host Polonia Bytom in the Division 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Puszcza at 1.31 goals for, 1.45 against; Polonia Bytom at 1.68 for, 1.75 against. Head-to-head, Puszcza have won 3 to Polonia Bytom's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.38) back Puszcza to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Puszcza
30%
Draws
35%
Polonia Bytom
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Puszcza come out ahead of Polonia Bytom on wins alone.
  • Puszcza are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Puszcza Clean Sheet 17%
Polonia Bytom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puszcza Polonia Bytom
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 3 10
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division 1
Puszcza vs Polonia Bytom
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Division 1
Polonia Bytom vs Puszcza
1:1
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Puszcza vs Polonia Bytom
1:1
Apr 22, 2017 Division 2
Puszcza vs Polonia Bytom
2:0
Sep 24, 2016 Division 2
Polonia Bytom vs Puszcza
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puszcza 48 / 100
Polonia Bytom 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puszcza Polonia Bytom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puszcza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Bytom has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Puszcza scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Puszcza has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Puszcza VS Polonia Bytom
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Puszcza

(Home)
02 Oct
KS Wieczysta Krakow
4 : 3
Puszcza
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2
Puszcza
11 Sept
Puszcza
1 : 2
LKS Lodz
01 Sept
Plock II
0 : 2
Puszcza
29 Aug
Puszcza
2 : 0
Podbeskidzie
Page 1 of 6

Polonia Bytom

(Away)
02 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
4 : 1
Polonia Bytom
18 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0
Ruch Chorzow
15 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
1 : 2
Polonia Bytom
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2
Polonia Bytom
06 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0
Podbeskidzie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 9 5 3 1 15:8 18
2 Termalica Bruk-Bet 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
3 Warta Poznan 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Polonia Warszawa 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Chrobry Glogow 9 3 3 3 11:8 12
10 Pogon Siedlce 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Arka Gdynia 9 3 2 4 11:11 11
13 Unia Skierniewice 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
14 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
15 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
16 Stal Mielec 9 2 3 4 14:23 9
17 Podbeskidzie 9 0 8 1 12:14 8
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)