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Puteolana Internapoli vs Paganese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Coniglio F.
90' Event
De Feo G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 game between Puteolana Internapoli and Paganese finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Puteolana Internapoli
35%
Draws
26%
Paganese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Puteolana Internapoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Paganese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Paganese a 26% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Puteolana Internapoli Clean Sheet 23%
Paganese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puteolana Internapoli Paganese
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 11 16
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Puteolana Internapoli vs Paganese
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Paganese vs Puteolana Internapoli
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puteolana Internapoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Coniglio F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Paganese Compare

Top Goalscorer De Feo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puteolana Internapoli 24 / 100
Paganese 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puteolana Internapoli Paganese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paganese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puteolana Internapoli's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Puteolana Internapoli remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Paganese registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Paganese has conceded goals in 57% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Paganese
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Puteolana Internapoli

(Home)
03 May
Terracina
1 : 3
Puteolana Internapoli
27 Apr
Puteolana Internapoli
1 : 1
Cassino
17 Apr
Puteolana Internapoli
0 : 4
Guidonia 1937
13 Apr
Anzio Calcio 1924
2 : 2
Puteolana Internapoli
06 Apr
Puteolana Internapoli
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
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Paganese

(Away)
07 Oct
Paganese
1 : 2
Real Normanna
04 Oct
Sarnese
2 : 1
Paganese
27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3
Gelbison
20 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 6
Paganese
16 Sept
Paganese
0 : 0
Afragolese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guidonia 1937 34 20 9 5 59:25 69
2 Gelbison 34 18 10 6 57:37 64
3 Sarnese 34 18 8 8 54:37 62
4 Cassino 34 15 13 6 40:25 58
5 A.C. Savoia 34 16 9 9 45:33 57
6 Paganese 34 15 11 8 41:28 56
7 Cynthialbalonga 34 15 6 13 49:42 51
8 Puteolana Internapoli 34 13 11 10 48:42 50
9 Trastevere Calcio 34 12 8 14 52:55 44
10 Olbia 34 11 9 14 46:50 42
11 Latte Dolce 34 11 8 15 52:57 41
12 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 10 14 39:57 40
13 Atl. Lodigiani 34 9 11 14 39:49 38
14 Real Monterotondo 34 10 8 16 34:39 38
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 10 8 16 39:41 38
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
17 Atletico Uri 34 6 11 17 33:53 29
18 Terracina 34 5 9 20 27:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Out)