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Puuma vs FC Alliance

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2015
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AI Match Summary

FC Alliance in this Esiliiga B 2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Alliance.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Puuma
15%
Draws
34%
FC Alliance
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puuma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Puuma lately — more wins on the board than FC Alliance.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Puuma taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Puuma Clean Sheet 20%
FC Alliance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puuma FC Alliance
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 5
Draws 3 3
Losses 17 25
Goals Scored 1.53 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.73 3.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.73 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2015 Esiliiga B
FC Alliance vs Puuma
0:0
Sep 6, 2015 Esiliiga B
Puuma vs FC Alliance
1:3
May 29, 2015 Esiliiga B
FC Alliance vs Puuma
0:1
Apr 18, 2015 Esiliiga B
Puuma vs FC Alliance
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puuma 67 / 100
FC Alliance 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puuma FC Alliance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puuma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puuma's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

FC Alliance let in goals in 91% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

FC Alliance's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Alliance
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 4.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Puuma

(Home)
21 Nov
Puuma
2 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
15 Nov
Tartu JK Welco
5 : 0
Puuma
08 Nov
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Puuma
31 Oct
Puuma
2 : 3
Sillamae Kalev II
25 Oct
Puuma
1 : 4
Raasiku Joker
Page 1 of 6

FC Alliance

(Away)
12 Nov
Flora Tallinn U21
6 : 0
FC Alliance
06 Nov
Levadia U21
2 : 2
FC Alliance
02 Nov
FC Alliance
2 : 0
Elva
29 Oct
FC Alliance
3 : 4
Legion
22 Oct
Nomme Utd
3 : 0
FC Alliance
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 26 3 7 92:38 81
2 FC Alliance 36 20 10 6 66:29 70
3 Sillamae Kalev II 36 19 6 11 73:57 63
4 Raasiku Joker 36 14 11 11 66:57 53
5 Elva 36 15 7 14 62:45 52
6 Tallinna Kalev U21 36 14 8 14 60:55 50
7 Viimsi JK 36 13 7 16 56:64 46
8 Puuma 36 13 6 17 60:89 45
9 FC Ararat 36 6 8 22 51:114 26
10 Flora U19 36 4 6 26 43:81 18
Promotion - Esiliiga 2016 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2015 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2015 (Relegation)