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PVV vs Notch

Suriname Suriname

SML 2025
1 - 1
FT
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this SML 2025 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
PVV
20%
Draws
22%
Notch
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PVV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Notch haven't matched PVV's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans PVV's way, sitting at 90%.
  • PVV have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Notch, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
PVV Clean Sheet 20%
Notch Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PVV Notch
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.7 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2025 SML
PVV vs Notch
1:1
Jun 29, 2025 SML
Notch vs PVV
1:4
Apr 13, 2025 SML
PVV vs Notch
1:2
Feb 2, 2025 SML
Notch vs PVV
1:1
May 26, 2024 SML
Notch vs PVV
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PVV 85 / 100
Notch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PVV Notch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PVV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PVV found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Notch has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: PVV stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Notch
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

PVV

(Home)
12 Jul
PVV
1 : 2
Inter Moengotapoe
09 Jul
PVV
1 : 0
Robinhood
06 Jul
Robinhood
1 : 1
PVV
02 Jul
PVV
1 : 1
Notch
29 Jun
Notch
1 : 4
PVV
Page 1 of 6

Notch

(Away)
26 Apr
Notch
1 : 2
Inter Wanica
23 Apr
Notch
1 : 2
Broki
19 Apr
Notch
0 : 1
SV Transvaal
04 Apr
Leo Victor
2 : 1
Notch
29 Mar
Flora
0 : 1
Notch
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Robinhood -
TBD -
Notch 2
PVV 5
SV Transvaal -
TBD -
Voorwaarts 0
Inter Moengotapoe 5
Semi-finals
Robinhood 1
PVV 2
SV Transvaal 2
Inter Moengotapoe 3
Final
PVV 1
Inter Moengotapoe 2
Robinhood 4
SV Transvaal 0