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Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Jincheon

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
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AI Match Summary

The K4 League game between Pyeongtaek Citizen and Jincheon finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pyeongtaek Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Pyeongtaek Citizen
30%
Draws
54%
Jincheon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jincheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Jincheon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jincheon a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K4 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Pyeongtaek Citizen Clean Sheet 10%
Jincheon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pyeongtaek Citizen Jincheon
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 5 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 1.41 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 K4 League
Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Jincheon
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pyeongtaek Citizen 18 / 100
Jincheon 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pyeongtaek Citizen Jincheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jincheon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pyeongtaek Citizen found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Jincheon conceded in 57% of 21 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Pyeongtaek Citizen has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pyeongtaek Citizen VS Jincheon
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pyeongtaek Citizen

(Home)
13 Sept
Namyangju
2 : 2
Pyeongtaek Citizen
05 Sept
Geumsan Insam
0 : 0
Pyeongtaek Citizen
29 Aug
Pyeongtaek Citizen
2 : 3
Gijang United
26 Jul
Pyeongtaek Citizen
0 : 2
Jinju Citizen
12 Jul
Pyeongtaek Citizen
0 : 5
Seosan Pioneer
Page 1 of 6

Jincheon

(Away)
12 Sept
Jecheon Citizen
1 : 1
Jincheon
06 Sept
Haman
3 : 1
Jincheon
22 Aug
Pyeongchang United
0 : 1
Jincheon
25 Jul
Jincheon
4 : 1
Geoje
11 Jul
Sejong SA
4 : 1
Jincheon
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jinju Citizen 20 16 2 2 50:16 50
2 Jincheon 20 11 5 4 38:20 38
3 Namyangju 21 10 6 5 30:26 36
4 Seoul Jungnang 20 10 4 6 38:23 34
5 Geumsan Insam 21 8 8 5 33:25 32
6 Jecheon Citizen 21 7 7 7 26:31 28
7 Geoje 18 8 3 7 33:26 27
8 Pyeongchang United 20 8 2 10 27:31 26
9 Gijang United 20 8 2 10 28:36 26
10 Sejong SA 20 8 2 10 29:40 26
11 Haman 19 6 2 11 22:32 20
12 Seosan Pioneer 20 4 0 16 22:46 12
13 Pyeongtaek Citizen 20 2 5 13 20:44 11
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