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Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Jincheon

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This K4 League encounter between Pyeongtaek Citizen and Jincheon promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Pyeongtaek Citizen averages 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded in recent matches. Jincheon shows a form average of 2.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Pyeongtaek Citizen, 0 wins for Jincheon, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 30.05.26 ended in a 1:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.94 for Pyeongtaek Citizen and 2.06 for Jincheon, suggesting the primary value lies in the Jincheon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Pyeongtaek Citizen
18%
Draws
53%
Jincheon
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Jincheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Pyeongtaek Citizen picked up more points recently compared to Jincheon.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Pyeongtaek Citizen Clean Sheet 10%
Jincheon Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pyeongtaek Citizen Jincheon
Matches Played 29 15
Wins 7 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 2
Goals Scored 1.45 2
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.88
Possession % N/A N/A
Shots per Match N/A N/A
Shots on Target N/A N/A
Corners per Match N/A N/A
Yellow/Red Cards N/A N/A

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

30.05.26 K4 League
Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Jincheon
1:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Pyeongtaek Citizen

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Jincheon

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Squad Roster & Injury Alerts Unavailable

Real-time squad lineups, player goal/assist metrics, and live availability/injury alerts are currently not available. This section is currently flagged as: Needs a Real Data Source.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pyeongtaek Citizen 28 / 100
Jincheon 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pyeongtaek Citizen Jincheon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jincheon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Jincheon & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Jincheon will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Pyeongtaek Citizen 32%
Jincheon 42%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Pyeongtaek Citizen will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Jincheon's early runs.

Pyeongtaek Citizen 28%
Jincheon 56%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Jincheon to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Pyeongtaek Citizen tries to push forward.

Pyeongtaek Citizen 29%
Jincheon 53%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will see Jincheon increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Pyeongtaek Citizen 30%
Jincheon 50%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Pyeongtaek Citizen's defense, opening up opportunities for Jincheon's forward line.

Pyeongtaek Citizen 26%
Jincheon 58%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect Jincheon to manage the closing stages, while Pyeongtaek Citizen searches for late drama.

Pyeongtaek Citizen 33%
Jincheon 61%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pyeongtaek Citizen attacking → ← attacking Jincheon

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pyeongtaek Citizen have found the net in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Jincheon have conceded at least one goal in 47% of their last 15 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.00 goals per match.

Pyeongtaek Citizen remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Jincheon suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

History Log Unavailable

Historical prediction accuracy logs and success dashboards require a live connection to a completed tips outcome database. This section is currently flagged as: Needs a Real Data Source.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 31
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88
N/A Ball possession % N/A
N/A Shots per game N/A
N/A Shots on target N/A
N/A Corners per game N/A
N/A Cards per game N/A

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jinju Citizen15131138:1240
2Jincheon1594230:1131
3Geumsan Insam1566325:1724
4Jecheon Citizen1566316:1724
5Seoul Jungnang1564524:1922
6Namyangju1555518:1920
7Pyeongchang United1562719:2120
8Sejong SA1462619:2320
9Geoje1453626:2118
10Gijang United1552819:2617
11Haman1542915:2614
12Pyeongtaek Citizen15231016:329
13Seosan Pioneer14301115:369