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Pyrgos vs Karditsa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League 2
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pyrgos host Karditsa in the Super League 2. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Pyrgos at 1.64 goals for, 0.86 against; Karditsa at 0.89 for, 0.96 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 0.69) point toward Pyrgos. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Pyrgos
35%
Draws
19%
Karditsa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pyrgos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pyrgos lately — more wins on the board than Karditsa.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Pyrgos taking it.
  • Regular Super League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Pyrgos Clean Sheet 20%
Karditsa Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pyrgos Karditsa
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.64 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pyrgos 49 / 100
Karditsa 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pyrgos Karditsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pyrgos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pyrgos's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Pyrgos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Karditsa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: Karditsa conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pyrgos VS Karditsa
0.5 Goals Scored 0.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pyrgos

(Home)
04 Oct
Pyrgos
2 : 0
Panionios
27 Sept
Ellas Syrou
0 : 0
Pyrgos
21 Sept
Pyrgos
0 : 4
AEL Larissa
13 Sept
Chrisoupolis
1 : 0
Pyrgos
05 Sept
Panthrakikos
0 : 0
Pyrgos
Page 1 of 6

Karditsa

(Away)
04 Oct
Asteras Tripolis B
2 : 0
Karditsa
27 Sept
Apollon Kalamaria
1 : 0
Karditsa
19 Sept
Karditsa
0 : 0
Panionios
13 Sept
Ellas Syrou
3 : 0
Karditsa
06 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 1
Karditsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marko 5 5 0 0 11:5 15
2 AEL Larissa 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Panionios 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
4 Ellas Syrou 5 2 3 0 9:3 9
5 Athens Kallithea 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
6 Panthrakikos 5 2 2 1 5:3 8
7 Panserraikos 5 2 1 2 7:5 7
8 Asteras Tripolis B 5 2 0 3 3:5 6
9 Apollon Kalamaria 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
10 PAOK B 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
11 Pyrgos 5 1 2 2 2:5 5
12 Niki Volos 5 1 1 3 6:7 4
13 Olympiacos Piraeus B 4 1 1 2 6:10 4
14 Chrisoupolis 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
15 Zakynthos 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
16 Karditsa 5 0 2 3 1:7 2
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