Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pyunik Yerevan vs Shirak Gyumri

Armenia Armenia

Premier League 2025/2026 Junior Sport Stadium, Yerevan
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Yansane M.
Assist: Malakyan E.
39' Event
Yansane M.
43'
Janoyan N.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Pyunik Yerevan and Shirak Gyumri finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pyunik Yerevan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Pyunik Yerevan
20%
Draws
38%
Shirak Gyumri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pyunik Yerevan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Pyunik Yerevan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Pyunik Yerevan are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Pyunik Yerevan Clean Sheet 20%
Shirak Gyumri Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pyunik Yerevan Shirak Gyumri
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 19 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Pyunik Yerevan
0:1
Mar 9, 2026 Premier League
Pyunik Yerevan vs Shirak Gyumri
3:0
Aug 11, 2025 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Pyunik Yerevan
0:0
Mar 14, 2025 Premier League
Pyunik Yerevan vs Shirak Gyumri
6:1
Nov 28, 2024 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Pyunik Yerevan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pyunik Yerevan Compare

Top Goalscorer Yansane M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Malakyan E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Shirak Gyumri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pyunik Yerevan 42 / 100
Shirak Gyumri 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pyunik Yerevan Shirak Gyumri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pyunik Yerevan found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).

Shirak Gyumri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pyunik Yerevan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pyunik Yerevan VS Shirak Gyumri
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pyunik Yerevan

(Home)
16 Jul
Pyunik Yerevan
1 : 0
Marsaxlokk
09 Jul
Marsaxlokk
0 : 3
Pyunik Yerevan
01 Jul
Corvinul Hunedoara
2 : 0
Pyunik Yerevan
23 Jun
Aluminij
2 : 2
Pyunik Yerevan
27 May
Pyunik Yerevan
2 : 1
Van
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Shirak Gyumri

(Away)
11 Jul
Shirak Gyumri
5 : 0
Andranik
04 Jul
BKMA
2 : 3
Shirak Gyumri
26 May
Alashkert
2 : 0
Shirak Gyumri
18 May
Shirak Gyumri
0 : 0
Urartu
08 May
Van
1 : 0
Shirak Gyumri
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ararat-Armenia27186350:2560
2Noah27168361:1956
3Pyunik Yerevan27174637:1855
4Alashkert27165642:2353
5Urartu27147643:2649
6Van27941427:4031
7BKMA274111230:4223
8FC Gandzasar27561620:4121
9Ararat Yerevan27342021:6313
10Shirak Gyumri27271817:5113
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - First League (Main)