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Qala Saints vs St. Andrews - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Mercieca C.
17' Event
Nedeljkovic I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Qala Saints advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Qala Saints
20%
Draws
20%
St. Andrews
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Qala Saints

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • St. Andrews carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Qala Saints's way, sitting at 70%.
  • St. Andrews arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Qala Saints, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Qala Saints Clean Sheet 15%
St. Andrews Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qala Saints St. Andrews
Matches Played 17 32
Wins 5 12
Draws 0 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.53 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.76 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2025 FA Trophy
Qala Saints vs St. Andrews
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qala Saints Compare

Top Goalscorer Mercieca C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nedeljkovic I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

St. Andrews Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qala Saints 66 / 100
St. Andrews 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qala Saints St. Andrews

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qala Saints Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Andrews let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: St. Andrews registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Qala Saints scored in 59% of their last 17 outings.

Scoring Trends

Qala Saints VS St. Andrews
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Qala Saints

(Home)
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2
Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Qala Saints
0 : 2
Mgarr
06 Dec
Zebbug
0 : 5
Qala Saints
04 Feb
Qala Saints
0 : 3
Hibernians
12 Jan
Qala Saints
2 : 0
St. Andrews
Page 1 of 4

St. Andrews

(Away)
18 Sept
St. Andrews
1 : 1
Santa Lucia
13 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 0
St. Andrews
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2
St. Andrews
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1
Swieqi
04 Apr
St. Andrews
1 : 3
Birzebbuga
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
Valletta 3
Nadur 1
Mgarr 2
Victoria Wanderers 3
Xaghra -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Senglea 0
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Sirens 3
Santa Lucia 1
TBD -
Qrendi -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Swieqi 1
Mtarfa 0
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Hibernians -
TBD -
Zebbug 6
Oratory 1
Zurrieq -
TBD -
Tarxien 1
Mellieha 2
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
1/16-finals
Fgura 3
Attard 1
Birkirkara 2
Balzan FC 1
Gudja 0
Gzira 5
Valletta 4
Victoria Wanderers 0
Xaghra 1
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Floriana 2
Xewkija 0
Marsaxlokk 0
Mosta FC 3
Sirens 0
Qrendi 2
Lija 0
Zabbar 5
Hamrun 5
Swieqi 0
Pieta 1
Marsa 5
Sliema 8
Ghajnsielem 0
Qala Saints 2
St. Andrews 0
Hibernians 3
Zebbug 0
Zurrieq 1
Mellieha 0
Naxxar Lions 4
Melita 2
1/8-finals
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 3
Gzira 0
Valletta 1
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Floriana 4
Mosta FC 4
Qrendi 0
Zabbar 1
Hamrun 2
Marsa 0
Sliema 4
Qala Saints 0
Hibernians 3
Zurrieq 0
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 3
Valletta 1
Floriana 2
Mosta FC 0
Hamrun 2
Sliema 0
Hibernians 2
Naxxar Lions 0
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 2
Floriana 1
Hamrun 1
Hibernians 2
Final
Birkirkara 1
Hibernians 2